Allwyn Investor Presentation Deck slide image

Allwyn Investor Presentation Deck

Cohn Robbins' view on value • Cohn Robbins believes that Allwyn is undervalued at the 11.0x 2023E Adj. EBITDA deal multiple and that the transaction presents an attractive entry point for investors relative to what Cohn Robbins believes are Allwyn's core lottery peers Single Market lottery operator FDJ trades at 10.8x 2023E Adj. EBITDA¹, and Tabcorp Lottery segment is valued at 17.8x 2023E Adj. EBITDA based on equity research SOTP valuation² • Cohn Robbins' investment thesis is based on Allwyn's scalable lottery platform with significant barriers to entry, the resiliency of the business model with high margins and free cash flow conversion and the potential future top line growth borne out of the digital transformation of lottery Cohn Robbins' view of value for Allwyn does not incorporate potential upside from ongoing UK tender process or further international expansion Illustrative Price per Share at Different Multiples ● Growth Implied Multiple Firm Value 35 Pro Forma Equity Value Pro Forma Fully Diluted Shares Outstanding Illustrative Share Price Illustrative ROI @ various multiples 5 1) 2 3 6 3) Discounted³ 10.3x 0.6x $8,968 $7,415 800.8 $9.26 0.0% At Deal4 11.0x 0.6x $9,561 $8,008 800.8 $10.00 8.0% FV/2023E EBITDA 13.0x 0.7x $11,286 $9,733 823.7 $11.82 27.6% 14.0x 0.8x $12,154 $10,601 826.8 $12.82 38.5% 15.0x 0.8x $13,023 $11,469 847.0 $13.54 46.2% Source: Company information, Press Releases, Note: Assumes no redemptions from Cohn Robbins SPAC Trust and assumes $353mm common PIPE proceeds; EUR:USD spot rate of 1.06 applied, sourced from CapIQ, as of 20-May-22; Adj. net debt as of Dec-21A, includes €322mm of convertible notes expected to be outstanding at transaction close, pro forma for OPAP stake increase and acquisition of Betano in Q2-22. Excludes impact of expected free cash flow and a €170 mm one time dividend prior to closing. Forecast financials for Allwyn are presented on a pro rata basis and sourced from management estimates (subject to material change). Cohn Robbins cash in trust as of 31-March-22 This table is for illustrative purposes only and is not a prediction of future performance or a guarantee of future results. Actual results may differ materially, as they involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future and are based on potentially inaccurate assumptions. Accordingly, you should not place undue reliance on this table, which speaks only as of the date of this Presentation. Neither Cohn Robbins nor Allwyn undertakes any obligation to publicly revise this table to reflect circumstances or events after the date hereof or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. You should, however, review the disclaimer on slides 2 and 3 of this Presentation. Capital IQ as of 20-May-22 Reflects SOTP valuation for Tabcorp Lottery and Keno segment published by equity research broker in Mar-22 sourced from Refinitiv; Tabcorp fiscal year ends 30-Jun Based on pro rata Allwyn financials sourced from management estimates (subject to material change); includes the impact of expected bonus shares Based on pro rata Allwyn financials sourced from management estimates (subject to material change); does not include the impact of expected bonus shares. Bonus pool for PIPE and non-redeeming shareholders is variable based on number of redemptions. Shares underlying CRHC warrants expected to be adjusted by the same ratio. Based on 18.2% 2019-2023E EBITDA CAGR 16.0x 0.9x Reflects expected impact of shares underlying 42.2mm total Sponsor and SPAC public warrants net exercised into shares using TSM. Reflects expected impact from 30.0mm earnout shares to existing Allwyn shareholders and 26.5% Founder Share earnout vesting at $12.00 / $14.00. Reflects expected 16% Founder Share forfeiture $13,891 $12,337 849.2 $14.53 56.9% allwyn
View entire presentation