Melrose Investor Presentation Deck
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GKN AEROSPACE
£m
750
650
550
450
350
250
150
50
-50
RRSPS: cash mountain
Actual
GKN Engines RRSP net cash inflow ¹
1.
2.
■OE delivery forecast²
~ 3
■AM current fleet forecast³
■AM delivery forecast4
Significant upturn in
cash flow underway
1980
1982
1984
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1988
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1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
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2026
2028
2030
2032
2034
2036
2038
2040
2042
2044
2046
2048
2050
2052
2054
2056
2058
2060
Net present values
of future expected
cash flow 5
£5.5bn
Pre-tax
Original equipment (OE) delivery forecast represents the OE sale of expected future engine deliveries on current programmes
3. Aftermarket (AM) current fleet forecast includes AM on delivered engines
Calculated using industry forecasts with
conservative assumptions
21
> 17 programmes now in cash generation
phase; remaining two programmes turn cash
positive in next five years
> Cash and profits now rising as engines are in
profitable aftermarket phase
> GKN parts typically last life-of-the-
programme, limited future cost of sales after
engine is sold
Expecting to invest up to 10% of NPV in next generation of engines, no significant funding before 2030
> Our RRSP share is recorded as revenue with
minimal costs in aftermarket phase, leading
to higher margins over time
> Maturity of our programmes means that
commercial, technology and warranty risk
has reduced and continues to do so over
time
> GKN expecting to invest in next-generation
engines (e.g. CFM RISE and next-gen GTF);
investment and returns not modelled
4. Aftermarket (AM) delivery forecast represents associated AM of expected future engine deliveries on current programmes
5.
Calculation as per Capital Markets Event on 17 May 2023. Using a foreign exchange rate of USD GBP of 1.25:1 and calculated using a discount rate of 7.5% which is between a debt related discount rate and a GKN
Aerospace pre-tax weighted average cost of capitalView entire presentation