#1Save the Children Save the Children Outcome Analysis Presentation Nigeria October 2019 USAID ÈD PEP AMERIKEN#2Livelihood Zone Map Benin NG29 FEWS NET NGOI NG06 NGI NG13 NGII NG02 NG03 NIGERIA - LIVELIHOOD ZONES Niger NG04 NGIO NGOS NGIS NGH NG16 NG18 O Abuja NG20 NG17 NG25 NG245 N34 NGOS Chad NG09 USAID FROM THE AMERICAN PEOPLE NG01 - Sokoto millet, cowpeas, groundnuts, and livestock NG02-Kano-Katsina sahelian: millet, sorghum, sesame, and livestock NG03 Kano Katsina sudanian: sorghum, maize, rice, and groundnuts NG04 North-east sahelian: millet, sesame, cowpeas, and livestock NG05-Borno-Yobe-Bauchi millet, cowpeas, groundnuts, and sesame NG06 Sokoto-Rima-Kano riverine flood plain rice and fishing NG07- Komadugu-Yobe irrigated peppers with rice, millet, and vegetables NG08 Lake Chad fishing, maize, wheat, cowpeas, and vegetables NG09 - Chad Basin: masakwa flood-recession sorghum and wheat NG 10-Hadeija-Nguru wetlands: mixed cereals, vegetables, and fishing NG11 North-west sorghum maize, soybeans, and rice NG12 North-west sorghum, maize and cotton with cross-border trade NG13 North-west and central maize dominant, with sorghum, sweet potatoes, and cowpeas NG14 Central sorghum, maize, groundnuts, cowpeas, and sesame NG15 North-east maize dominant with rice, cowpeas, soybeans, and groundnuts NG16 High plateau Irish potatoes, maize, acha (Digitaria), and livestock NG17-Lower plateau rice, sorghum, and cattle NG18 Ginger and turmeric with maize, sorghum, yams, and acha (Digitaria) NG19 Benue river sugar cane, rice, and sugar estate labor NG20 Central yame and maize bolt, with cassava, rice, and soybeans NG21 Niger and Benue rivers flood plain rice with maize, vegetables, and livestock NG22 - Cassava dominant with maize, yams, and tree-crops NG23 - Citrus fruits with tubers, cereals, soybeans, and groundnuts NG24 - Cocoa dominant with oil palm, cereals, and tubers NG25 Mambila highland: cattle, maize, Irish potatoes, tea, coffee, and kola nut NG26 Cross river cocoa with oil palm, tubers, rice, and plantain NG27 South-east rice dominant with cassava, yams, and oil palm NG28 South-west cocoa with oil palm, tubers, and cereals NG29 South-west rice, cassava, and cattle with cross-border trade NG30 Cashews with oil palm, tubers, and maize ING31-Lagos Peri-urban: fishing, poultry, piggeries, market gardening, and coconuts NG32 Coastal strip and Niger Delta: fishing, cassava, plantain, oil palm, and rubber NG33 South-east cassava, cereals, and oil palm with extensive off-farm work and trade ING34 North-east cattle, small ruminants, and food crops with cross-border livestock trade NG35 Niger Benue rivers fishing and food crops Commercial sugarcane estates within NG19 NG28 NG30 NG23 NG25 • Capital Cameroon two NG31 NOR NG32 NG33 NG26 NG27 125 250 500 Kilometers Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation Towns Water Bodies National Parks October 2019 7#3Areas covered under the Previous Livelihood zone Map N Benin NGH NGO Lages NGC NG#2 Sokoto NGT Niger NG13 NGO NGI NGOS ABES WG24 NG03 GI Port Harcourt NGM GO NGD2 NG02 NGO NGHI NGU NG13 Maldugun NG NGII mam NG 09 NGOT INIGOS NGO9 Cameroon peg Save the Children I Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2019 8#4Areas covered under the 2018 updated Livelihood zone Map FEWS NET Benin NG29 NGO! NG12 NIGERIA - LIVELIHOOD ZONES USAID FROM THE AMERICAN PEOPLE NG06 NG13 NG11 NG02 NG03 Niger NG04 NG07 NG08 NG10 INGOS NGN NG16 NG18 NG19 O Abuja NG17 NG20 NG35 NG245 N34 Chad NG09 NG01 - Sokoto millet, cowpoas, groundnuts, and livestock NG02-Kano-Katsina sahelian: millet, sorghum, sesame, and livestock NG03 Kano Katsina sudanian: sorghum, maize, rice, and groundnuts ING04 North-east sahelian: millet, sesame, cowpeas, and livestock NG05-Borno-Yobe-Bauchi millet, cowpeas, groundnuts, and sesame NG06 - Sokoto-Rima-Kano riverine flood plain rice and fishing NG07- Komadugu-Yobe imigated peppers with rice, millet, and vegetables NG08 Lake Chad fishing, maize, wheat, cowpeas, and vegetables NG09 - Chad Basin: masakwa flood-recession sorghum and wheat NG10-Hadeija-Nguru wetlands: mixed cereals, vegetables, and fishing NG11 North-west sorghum, maize, soybeans, and rice NG12- North-west sorghum, maize and cotton with cross-border trade ING13 North-west and central maize dominant, with sorghum, sweet potatoes, and cowpeas NG14-Central sorghum, maize, groundnuts, cowpeas, and sesame NG15 North-east maize dominant with rice, cowpeas, soybeans, and groundnuts NG16- High plateau Irish potatoes, maize, acha (Digitaria), and livestock NG17 Lower plateau rice, sorghum, and cattle NG18-Ginger and turmeric with maize, sorghum, yams, and acha (Digitaria) NG19- Benue river sugar cane, rice, and sugar estate labor NG20 Central yams and maize belt, with cassava, rice, and soybeans ING21 Niger and Benue rivers flood plain rice with maize, vegetables, and livestock NG22 Cassava dominant with maize, yams, and tree-crops NG23-Citrus fruits with tubers, cereals, soybeans, and groundnuts NG24- Cocoa dominant with oil palm, cereals, and tubers NG25-Mambila highland: cattle, maize, Irish potatoes, tea, coffee, and kola nut NG26 Cross river cocoa with oil palm, tubers, rice, and plantain NG27 - South-east rice dominant with cassava, yams, and oil palm ING28-South-west cocoa with oil palm, tubers, and cereals ING29 ING30 South-west rice, cassava, and cattle with cross-border trade Cashews with oil palm, tubers, and maize NG31 Lagos Peri-urban: fishing, poultry, piggeries, market gardening, and coconuts NG32 Coastal strip and Niger Delta: fishing, cassava, plantain, oil palm, and rubber NG33 South-east cassava, cereals, and oil palm with extensive off-farm work and trade ING34 - North-east cattle, small ruminants, and food crops with cross-border livestock trade NG35 Niger Benue rivers fishing and food crops Commercial sugarcane estates within NG19 NG28 NG30 NG23 NGS NG25 ° Capital Cameroon Towns Water Bodies National Parks NOT! NG31 NG32 96 NG33 NG26 NG27 125 250 500 Kilometers Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2019 6#5Map of Nigeria showing Outcome Analysis October result Oyo Sokoto Katsina Zamfara Kebbi Kwara Yobe Jigawa Borno Kano Kaduna Bauchi Gombe Niger NIGERIA Federal Capital Territory Ekiti Kogi Osun Ondo Ogun Lagos Nassarawa Benue Edo Enugu Ebonyi Anambra Cross River Imo Delta Abia Rivers Akwa Ibom Bayelsa Plateau Taraba Adamawa Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2019 10#6Livelihood Zone and Areas Covered Livelihood Zones Millet & Sesame LZ (MAS) States LGA Cotton Groundnut & Cowpea LZ (CGC) Zamfara Sorghum Cowpeas & Groundnut LZ (SCG) Katsina Baure, Daura, Dutsi, Sandamu, Mashi & Zango Bungudu, Gusau, Maru & Tsafe Zamfara Anka, Bukkuyum & Gumi Northern Floodplain Irrigated Rice Wheat & Vegetables LZ (NGII) Jigawa Auyo, Guri, Hadejia, Kafin Hausa, Kaugama, Kiri Kassama, Miga, Malam Madori Sahel Mixed Cereals & Livestock LZ (NG13) Jigawa Millet Cowpeas & Sesame LZ (MCS) Bauchi Maize Sorghum & Cotton LZ (MSC) Bauchi North Central Maize Sorghum & Cotton LZ (NG10) Borno Northeast Millet Cowpea & Sesame Borno Babura, Birniwa, Dutse, Dagarawa, Garki, Gwiwa, Gumel, Jahun, Kazaure, Kiyawa, Maigatari, Malam Madori, Ringim, Roni, Sule Tankarkar, Taura, Yankwashi Misau, Katagum, Gaide, Gamawa, Darazo & Damban Alkaleri, Bogoro, Dass, Gamjuwa, Ningi, Toro & Tafawa Balewa Abadam, Askira Uba, Biu, Chibok, Hawul, Kwaya Kusar, Mobbar, Shani Bama, Damboa, Dikwa, Gubio, Gwoza, Jere, Kaga, Kalabalge, Konduga, Mafa, Magumeri, Marte, Maiduguri, Monguno, Ngala Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2019 11#7Livelihood Zone and Areas Covered Livelihood Zones States LGA North-East sahelian: Millet, Sesame, Bursari, Jakusko, Yusufari, Nguru, Karasuwa, Machina and Yobe Cowpeas and Livestock LZ (NG04) Yunusari Borno-Yobe-Bauchi; Millet, Cowpeas, Fika, Potiskum, Fune, Nangere, Damaturu and Tarmuwa Groundut and Sesame LZ (NG05) Yobe North-East Maize dominant with rice, Gujba Yobe Cowpeas, Soya beans and Groundnut LZ (NG15) Gulani Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2019 12#8Data sources Key Parameter Crop Production Market Price Livestock Production Other Income Sources (Price) Other Income Sources (Access) Source Agricultural Development Programme (ADP)- Ministry of Agriculture Agricultural Development Programme (ADP)- Ministry of Agriculture Village Key informants/ Consensus among workshop participants Key Informants Key informants/ Consensus among workshop participants Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2019 13#9Analysis Team Composition The analysis team comprised of members from: . • • • • • • • NEMA (National Emergency Management Agency) NAERLS- National Agric. Extension & Research Liaison Services Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development State Ministry of Agriculture Yobe state Min. of Budget and economic Planning Representatives of ADP from States Zamfara State Min of Budget and Economic planning National Programme for Food Security Save the Children Majesty Community Rural Development Foundation Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2019 14#10Result Summary The period or consumption year covered by the current analysis is September 2019 - August 2020 for the ten livelihood zones but across 6 states as projected. This analysis for all the states was analyse per Local government area (LGA) The analysis shows that the very poor and poor households in Bungu, Maru, & Tsafe LGA of zamfara state) CGC livelihood zone would likely face a livelihood protection deficit (LPD) VP 33%, 34% & 34% and P 3%, 5% & 5% respectively. Borno State, comprising NG10 and NG12 was analysed by LGA following the level of insecurity within the state and the result shows that in Abadam & Mobbar LGA (NG10), the very poor and poor HHs would likely face a LPD of VP 73% & 71% P 16% & 16% respectively. In Kala Balge & Marte LGA (NG12) the analysis shows that the very poor and poor HHs would likely face a LPD of VP 38% & 38%, P 26% & 26%. Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2019 15#11Result Summary Continue In Yobe state the analysis shows the following: In Yunusari LGA (NG04) the very poor would likely face a livelihood protection deficit LPD VP 33%. In Fika & Tarmua LGA (NG05) the very poor would be likely to face a livelihood protection deficit LPD of VP 4% and 22% respectively. In Gulani & Gujba LGA (NG15) the very poor would likely face a livelihood projection deficit LPD of VP 5% and 5% respectively. Other LGAs and LZs are not expected to face any deficit within the consumption year except there is a major shock that would like have an effect on household access to food and cash income. Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2019 16#12Result summary Continue Households facing survival deficit are unable to meet their daily food needs and would require external assistance to meet their food needs during the deficit period, while households facing livelihood protection deficit would require external assistance to meet their livelihood needs, this will also prevent the use high cost coping mechanism. Households not facing deficits would be able to access both food and cash income required to meet their normal food and non food needs within the projected period. Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2019 17#13OA Result Summary See Attachment Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2019 18#14% minimum food needs Result- Bungudu LGA -Zamfara (NGCGC) VP Total Income (food+cash) District: Bungudu Livelihood Zone: Household type: NGCGC VP 250% 200% 150% 100% 50% 0% Danimal products cons. ref year Down crops sold Olabour formal emp Owild foods Dother Curr vear thresholds. Danimal products sold Down crops consumed Danimals sold % minimum food needs Total Income (food+cash) Seasonal Expenditure (Food+Cash) District: Bungudu District: Bungudu Livelihood Zone: NGCGC Livelihood Zone: Household type: NGCGC VP Household type: VP 200% 250% 180% 160% 200% 150% 100% % min. food energy needs 2140% 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% SON D J F M A M J J A S O 50% ■labour - casual/payment in kind 0% ref.year curr.year thresholds self-employment Osmall business Ogifts - food Ogifts - cash Ofood transfer - official Olabour-public works survival l/hoods protection Threshold total income cash transfer - official Thresholds I/hoods protection Osurvival Ototal expenditure Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2019 ■deficit 19#15% minimum food needs Result- Bungudu LGA -Zamfara (NGCGC) P Total Income (food+cash) District: Bungudu Livelihood Zone: NGCGC Household type: P 250% 200% 150% 100% 50% 0% ref year Danimal products cons. curr year Danimal products sold Down crops sold Danimals sold Olabour formal emp Owild foods Bother thresholds. Down crops consumed % minimum food needs Total Income (food+cash) District: Bungudu Livelihood Zone: Household type: NGCGC P 250% 250% 200% 150% 100% 50% labour - casual/payment in kind 0% ref.year curr.year thresholds self-employment Osmall business Ogifts - food Ogifts - cash Ofood transfer - official Olabour-public works Osurvival /hoods protection Threshold Ototal income Ocash transfer - official Thresholds l/hoods protection Osurvival % min. food energy needs 200% 150% Seasonal Expenditure (Food+Cash) District: Bungudu NGCGC Livelihood Zone: Household type: P 100% 50% 0% SON D J F M A M J J A S Ototal expenditure Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2018 ■deficit 20 20#16% minimum food needs Result- Maru & Tsafe LGA Zamfara (NGCGC) VP Total Income (food+cash) District: Maru Livelihood Zone: NGCGC Household type: VP 250% 200% 150% 100% 50% 0% Danimal products cons. ref year curr year Danimal products sold Down crops sold Danimals sold Olabour-formal emp wild foods Dother thresholds. Down crops consumed % minimum food needs Total Income (food+cash) District: Maru Livelihood Zone: NGCGC Household type: VP 200% 180% 250% 160% 200% 150% % min. food energy needs 140% 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 100% 50% ■labour - casual/payment in kind 0% ref.year curr.year thresholds self-employment Osmall business Ogifts -food Ogifts - cash Ofood transfer - official Olabour public works Osurvival Vhoods protection Threshold total income cash transfer - official Thresholds l/hoods protection Osurvival Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation Seasonal Expenditure (Food+Cash) District: Maru NGCGC Livelihood Zone: Household type: VP SON D J F M A M J J A S O Ototal expenditure October 2019 ■deficit 21 21#17% minimum food needs Result- Maru & Tsafe LGA Zamfara (NGCGC) P Total Income (food+cash) District: Maru Livelihood Zone: NGCGC Household type: P 250% 200% 150% 100% 50% 0% Danimal products cons. ref vear curr year Danimal products sold Down crops sold Olabour - formal emp Dwild foods Bother Danimals sold thresholds Down crops consumed % minimum food needs Total Income (food+cash) District: Maru Livelihood Zone: NGCGC Household type: P 250% 250% 200% 150% 100% 50% ■labour - casual/payment in kind 0% ref.year curr.year thresholds self-employment Osmall business Ogifts - food Ogifts - cash Ofood transfer - official Olabour-public works survival /hoods protection Threshold total income cash transfer - official Thresholds l/hoods protection Osurvival % min. food energy needs 200% 150% 100% 50% 0% Seasonal Expenditure (Food+Cash) District: Maru NGCGC Livelihood Zone: Household type: P SON D J F M A M J J A S O Ototal expenditure Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2019 ■deficit 22 22#18% minimum food needs Result-Kalabalge & Marte LGA Borno(NG12)VP Total Income (food+cash) District: Kalabalge Livelihood Zone: NG12 Household type: VP 200% 180% 160% Total Income (food+cash) Seasonal Expenditure (Food+Cash) District: Kalabalge District: Kalabalge Livelihood Zone: NG12 Livelihood Zone: Household type: NG12 VP Household type: VP 180% 200% 160% 140% 180% 160% 140% 120% % min. food energy needs 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% SON D J F M A M J J A S O 140% 120% 100% 80% Omilk 60% 40% 20% 0% milk sales % minimum food needs 100% 80% 60% 40% crops 20% crop sales Olivestock sales Dag. labour 0% ref.year curr.year thresholds Onon ag. labour self employment □ small business Ogifts/remittances ■payment in kind 00 survival ■I/hoods protection wild foods/other □ food aid □ employment cash transfer ■I/hoods protection Thresholds survival Threshold total income total expenditure Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2019 ■deficit 23 23#19% minimum food needs Result-Kalabalge & Marte LGA Borno (NG12) P Total Income (food+cash) Total Income (food+cash) District: Kalabalge District: Kalabalge Livelihood Zone: NG12 Livelihood Zone: Household type: P Household type: NG12 P 180% 250% 250% 160% 140% 200% 200% 150% 100% 50% Omilk 0% milk sales % minimum food needs 150% 100% % min. food energy needs 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 50% crops crop sales Olivestock sales Bag. labour 0% ref.year Onon ag. labour ■self employment curr.year thresholds □ small business gifts/remittances ■payment in kind □0 wild foods/other □food aid cash transfer I/hoods protection survival □employment ■I/hoods protection Thresholds Osurvival Threshold total income Seasonal Expenditure (Food+Cash) District: Kalabalge NG12 Livelihood Zone: Household type: P SON D J F M A M J J A S O total expenditure Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2019 ■deficit 24 24#20% minimum food needs Result- Abadam LGA Borno (NG10)VP Total Income (food+cash) District: Abadam Livelihood Zone: NG10 Household type: VP 180% 160% 140% Total Income (food+cash) Seasonal Expenditure (Food+Cash) District: Abadam District: Abadam Livelihood Zone: NG10 Livelihood Zone: Household type: NG10 VP Household type: VP 140% 180% 120% 160% 140% 120% 100% 80% 60% % min. food energy needs 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% SON D J F M A M J J A S O 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Omilk crops Olivestock sales Onon-ag local labour □ milk sales crop sales ag. labour % minimum food needs 40% 20% 0% ref.year curr.year thresholds self employment □small business gifts/remittances ■payment in kind □ 0 survival I/hoods protection wild foods/other □ food aid □employment Thresholds ■I/hoods protection cash transfer survival Threshold total income total expenditure Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2019 ■ deficit 25 25#21% minimum food needs Result- Mobbar LGA Borno (NG10)VP Total Income (food+cash) District: Mobbar Livelihood Zone: NG10 Household type: VP 180% 160% 140% Total Income (food+cash) 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Omilk crops livestock sales non-ag local labour Osmall business ■payment in kind wild foods/other □employment Thresholds ■I/hoods protection □ milk sales crop sales Bag. labour 00 □ food aid cash transfer survival % minimum food needs 100% 80% District: Mobbar Livelihood Zone: NG10 Household type: VP 140% 180% 160% 120% 140% 120% % min. food energy needs 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 60% 40% 20% 0% ref.year self employment gifts/remittances curr.year thresholds survival l/hoods protection Threshold total income Seasonal Expenditure (Food+Cash) District: Mobbar Livelihood Zone: Household type: NG10 VP S O N D J F M A M J J A S O total expenditure ■deficit Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2019 26#22% minimum food needs Result- Abadam & Mobbar LGA Borno (NG10&12) P Total Income (food+cash) District: Abadam Livelihood Zone: NG10 Household type: P 180% 160% 140% Total Income (food+cash) Seasonal Expenditure (Food+Cash) District: Abadam District: Abadam Livelihood Zone: NG10 Livelihood Zone: Household type: NG10 P Household type: P 160% 180% 140% 160% 120% 140% 120% 100% % min. food energy needs 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% SON D J F M A M J J A S O 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Omilk crops Olivestock sales Onon-ag local labour □small business ■payment in kind □ milk sales crop sales ag. labour % minimum food needs 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% ref.year curr.year thresholds self employment gifts/remittances □ 0 survival I/hoods protection wild foods/other □ food aid □employment Thresholds ■I/hoods protection cash transfer survival Threshold total income total expenditure ■deficit Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2019 27#23% minimum food needs Result- Yunusari LGA Yobe (NG04) VP Total Income (food+cash) District: Yunusari Livelihood Zone: NG04 Household type: VP 300% 250% 200% 150% 100% 50% 0% ref year O milk curr year milk sales thresholds Total Income (food+cash) Seasonal Expenditure (Food+Cash) District: Yunusari District: Yunusari Livelihood Zone: NG04 Livelihood Zone: Household type: NG04 VP Household type: VP 180% 300% 160% 140% 250% 200% 150% % min. food energy needs 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% SON D J F M A M J J A S O % minimum food needs 100% 50% 0% migrant labour ref.year curr.year thresholds crops □ livestock sales □ local labour small business payment in kind wild foods/other □ employment Thresholds ■I/hoods protection crop sales ■self employment gifts/remittances 00 □ food aid cash transfer survival survival ■I/hoods protection Threshold total income total expenditure ■deficit Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2019 28#24% minimum food needs Result- Fika LGA Yobe (NG05) VP Total Income (food+cash) District: Fika Livelihood Zone: NG05 Household type: VP 180% 160% 140% 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% ref year O milk % minimum food needs Total Income (food+cash) Seasonal Expenditure (Food+Cash) District: Fika Livelihood Zone: NG05 District: Livelihood Zone: Household type: Fika NG05 VP Household type: VP 160% 180% 140% 160% 120% 140% 120% 100% 80% % min. food energy needs 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% SON D J F M A M J J A S O 60% 40% curr vear thresholds milk sales 20% 0% migrant labour ref.year curr.year thresholds crops □ livestock sales □ local labour small business payment in kind wild foods/other □ employment Thresholds ■I/hoods protection crop sales ■self employment gifts/remittances 00 □ food aid cash transfer survival survival ■I/hoods protection Threshold total income total expenditure Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2019 ■deficit 29 29#25% minimum food needs Result- Tarmua LGA Yobe (NG05) VP Total Income (food+cash) District: Tarmuwa Livelihood Zone: NG05 Household type: VP 180% 160% Total Income (food+cash) 140% 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% ref year Omilk crops □ livestock sales local labour □small business ■payment in kind curr vear milk sales crop sales thresholds self employment gifts/remittances □ 0 % minimum food needs 100% District: Tarmuwa Livelihood Zone: Household type: NG05 VP 160% 140% 180% 120% 160% 140% 120% % min. food energy needs 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% migrant labour ref.year curr.year thresholds survival l/hoods protection wild foods/other □employment Thresholds ■I/hoods protection food aid cash transfer survival Threshold total income Seasonal Expenditure (Food+Cash) District: Tarmuwa NG05 Livelihood Zone: Household type: VP S O N D J F M A M J J A S O total expenditure ■deficit Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2019 30 30#26% minimum food needs Result- Gulani & Gujba LGA Yobe (NG15) VP Total Income (food+cash) District: Gujiba Livelihood Zone: NG15 Household type: VP 250% 200% 150% 100% 50% 0% ref year O milk Curr vear milk sales thresholds % minimum food needs Total Income (food+cash) Seasonal Expenditure (Food+Cash) District: Gujiba District: Gujiba Livelihood Zone: NG15 Livelihood Zone: Household type: NG15 VP Household type: VP 200% 250% 180% 160% 200% 150% 100% % min. food energy needs 140% 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% SON D J F M A M J J A S O 50% 0% migrant labour ref.year curr.year thresholds □ crops □ livestock sales □ local labour small business ■payment in kind wild foods/other □ employment Thresholds I/hoods protection crop sales self employment gifts/remittances 00 □ food aid cash transfer survival survival ■I/hoods protection Threshold total income total expenditure ■deficit Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2019 31#27Quantification of Food Needs in Areas of Deficits State Livelihood Zone Beneficiaries In need of Food needs in Metric Tonnes Support Borno Northeast Millet Cowpea & Sesame LZ (NG12) 26,499 Borno North Central Maize Sorghum 43,975 & Cotton LZ (NG10) 490 Zamfara NW Cotton Groundnut & mixed Cereals LZ (CGC) 580,324 6,514 Yobe North-East sahelian: Millet, 17,632 Sesame, Cowpeas and Livestock LZ (NG04) Save the Children I Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2019 32#28Quantification of Food Needs in Areas of Deficits State Yobe Yobe TOTAL Livelihood Zone Borno-Yobe-Bauchi; Millet, Cowpeas, Groundnut and Sesame LZ (NG05) North-East Maize dominant with rice, Cowpeas, Soya beans and Groundnut LZ (NG15) Beneficiaries In need of Support Food needs in Metric Tonnes 36449 40661 745,540 Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2019 33 33#29Conclusion & Recommendation Although there are several humanitarian intervention in Borno (northeast) by partners, some HHs still face food insecurity within the LGAs, as some communities remain inaccessible following the persistence of security challenge with the region. Very poor households in CGC LZ as well as some LGAs in Borno state would require support to meet their non food needs. Persistent armed bandits attack in CGC & SCG LZ (Zamfara state), resulting to kidnapping/killing in some communities has significantly affected activities within the zone and the entire state of Zamfara, this activity is gradually affecting neighbouring state katsina and if this continues the very poor and poor HHS might be affected and would not be able to provide its basic food and non food requirement. Government to intensify effort to improve the security situation in Nigeria. Focus on development interventions to improve resilience among the vulnerable households. Continuous monitoring of the security situation as well as staple food prices as the lean season progresses. Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2019 34 =4#30THANK YOU Save the Children