Investor Presentaiton
20
0
100+
Rigs
100
80
60
42 Rigs
38 Rigs
12 Rigs
40
Haynesville Rig Count
$3.00/MMBtu NYMEX
Feb-16
Aug-16
Feb-17
Aug-17
0
(20)
(40)
(30)
(60)
(65%)
(71%)
(80)
(71)
01/31/12
02/28/15
Aug-11
Feb-12
Aug-12
Feb-13
Aug-13
Feb-14
Aug-14
Rig Reduction When Front Month
Natural Gas Breaks $3.00/MMBtu
Peak-to-Trough Rig Drop
% Change
Feb-15
Aug-15
L
0%
37%
Appalachia
Haynesville
40%
(20%)
27%
27%
30%
(26)
(40%)
20%
(44%)
(42)
(60%)
10%
(60%)
Appalachia
Haynesville
18%
21%
14%
(80%)
0%
02/28/19
Average
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
| Antero Resources (NYSE: AR)
Source: Baker Hughes, RigData and Platts data for decline rates. Decline rates based on most recent state data as of 9/30/2022. Balance 2023E
represents potential reduction in Haynesville rig count due to price levels.
17
Historical Activity Suggests Further Decline in Haynesville Rig Count
Haynesville Rigs vs. NYMEX Henry Hub Front Month ($/MMBtu)
NYMEX Henry Hub
$3.00/MMBtu
58 Rigs
32 Rigs
$3.00/MMBtu NYMEX
Feb-18
Aug-18
Feb-19
Aug-19
Feb-20
Aug-20
Feb-21
Aug-21
Feb-22
Aug-22
Annual Decline Rates - Basin Decline
$10.00
73 Rigs
Current:
$8.00
59 Rigs
$6.00
$4.00
$2.00
Feb-23
Bal' 23E +
$0.00View entire presentation