Investor Presentaiton
LEAD SUPPLY AND DEMAND BALANCE
Pacifico
Minerals Ltd
ASX:PMY
Short-term refined lead stocks are close to record lows.
Global lead demand is forecast to rise by 1.2% to 11.87 million tonnes in 2019¹ due to
increased usage in India, Japan, and the Republic of Korea.
Analysts predict the global lead market demand will grow at a CAGR of 6.74%
between 2018 and 20222.
Base case shows 'deficit' for mined lead from 2023 without new mine supply.
China remains the dominate player in 2019 for both lead production (>54% of 5.2Mt
global production in 2018) and consumption (45% of 12.8Mt global consumption in
2018).
BASE CASE MINED LEAD PRODUCTION VS. DEMAND³
10000
Tons
8000
6000
4000
2000
0
260000
240000
220000
200000
180000
160000
140000
2018
2019
2020
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2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
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Base Case
-Requirement for lead from concentrate
LME LEAD INVENTORY (LAST 5 YEARS)4
1 International Lead and Zinc Study Group Press Release 9 May 2019.
2 Business Wire https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20180803005303/en/Global-Lead-Market-Analysis-Trends-Forecasts-2018-2022
3 Wood Mackenzie
4 www.kitco.com
PACIFICO MINERALS LIMITED ASX:PMY
120000
100000
80000
Jan14
$14
Jan15
Sunr
Decis
Junts
Nov16
May17
Oct17
Apr18
Sep18
22
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