Investor Presentaiton
Supportive international & domestic market dynamics (3/3)
TOP END
-ENERGY-
THE ENERGY OF TOMORROW
Structurally short east coast gas market and long-term global LNG undersupply will continue to drive domestic demand for natural gas
East coast LNG netback pricing (A$/GJ)
East coast gas supply/demand (PJ/annum)
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
о
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
50
10
5
Post-COVID gas prices reach new
highs as supply pressure and
international gas prices increase
Jan-16
Jan-17
Jan-18
Forecast demand
Jan-19
Historical LNG netback prices
Jan-20
Jan-21
Jan-22
Jan-23
Jan-24
Forward LNG netback prices
Developed
Committed
Anticipated
LNG imports
East coast demand for natural gas is expected to outpace domestic supply
in the medium-term, necessitating expensive LNG imports and putting
upward pressure on pricing
Opportunity for any future discovered resource to plug domestic supply/
demand imbalance and backfill LNG facilities in both the Northern Territory
and Queensland as existing feed stock declines
Source: AEMO (Gas Statement of Opportunities For Eastern and South-eastern Australia (Mar-21))
East coast wholesale gas prices have been linked to LNG netback pricing
since 2015 - recent pricing has reached record levels as LNG prices up
-500% over the last 12 months
Current environment presents the opportunity to agree attractive long-
term off-take contracts, underpinning the economic viability of any future
discovered resource
Source: ACCC (1 March 2022) - indicative netback pricing based on historical and future Asian LNG spot prices
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