#1June 2022 Agriculture Market Intelligence Report Directorate of Agricultural Marketing & Agricultural Foreign Trade, U.P. (Agriculture Export Nodal Agency, Uttar Pradesh) 4th Floor, Kisan Mandi Bhawan, Vibhuti Khand, Gomti Nagar, Lucknow-226010 Email: [email protected], Website: www.upkrishivipran.in; Phone: 0522-2720326 उत्तर प्रदेश सरकार#2On 19 May 2022, the third advance estimates of production of major agricultural crops for the year 2021-22 have been released by the Union Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare. #01 Estimated Production The production of Food grains in the country is estimated at record 314.51 million tonnes which is higher by 3.77 million tonnes than the production of food grain during 2020-21. #03 Crops Record production is estimated of rice, maize, pulses, oilseeds, gram, rapeseed and mustard and sugarcane. Crops Estimated Production National Targets #02 Current Production The production during 2021-22 is higher by 23.80 million tonnes than the previous five years' (2016-17 to 2020-21) average production of food grains. Current Production #04 National Targets National targets set for food grain at 3280, pulses at 295.5 and oilseeds 413.4 lakh tonnes respectively for the year 2022-23. 2#3Exports for the year 2021-22 have crossed USD 50 billion - highest ever achieved for agricultural exports As per the provisional figures released by DGCI&S, the agricultural exports have grown by 19.92% during 2021-22 to touch $50.21 billion. The growth rate is remarkable as it is over and above the growth of 17.66%, at $41.87 billion, achieved in 2020-21. Exports of Agricultural Products (Including Marine and Plantation) APEDA portfolio of agricultural and processed food products exported to the tune of USD 25.6 billion, which is 51 per cent of the India's total agriculture exports of USD 50 billion Registering a growth of 27% in 2021-22, export of non-basmati rice was the top forex earner among all agri-commodities, at USD 6115 million. Notably, India is the world's second-largest rice producer after China. 3#4503 Increase Over Previous Year Fresh Mango, Groundnut, Natural Honey, Other fresh Fruits, Fresh Onion, Jaggery, Maize, Dairy Products, Wheat registered growth in term of value. Uttar Pradesh's Exports As per APEDA portfolio products Uttar Pradesh records 4.61 % ( 1844770 MT) increase in 2021-22 over previous year 2020-21 (1763534.84 MT). Decrease Over Previous Year Whereas Non-Basmati Rice Basmati Rice, Pulses, Milled Products, Other Fresh Vegetables, Processed Vegetables has registered decrease over previous year. 4#5A MSP Purchase and Potato Stocks B In Uttar Pradesh wheat purchase under MSP for the Rabi marketing year 2022-23 is only 5.53% (331673.11 MT) till 20 June,2022 against the target of 60 lakh tonnes. Where as in previous year till this date it was 5597899 MT In Uttar Pradesh the potato withdrawal % form cold storage till 20th June, 2022 was 8.9 % which is slightly lower than previous year (9.94%). This year potato storage was 6.23% higher (14130003.77 MT) than previous year (13301121.47 MT). 5#6Make Millets Global In a move aimed at providing a global platform for millet products, the Agricultural & Processed Food Products Export Development Authority (APEDA) launched a variety of millet products for all age groups at affordable prices ranging from Rs 5 to Rs 15 at the AAHAR food fair from 26th April to 30th April 2022 at Pragati Maidan., which is Asia's biggest B2B international food and hospitality fair. All the millet products launched are gluten-free, 100% natural and patented. The launched products are cream biscuits, salt biscuits, milk biscuits, ragi peanut butter, jowar peanut butter, jowar upma, pongal, khichadi and millet malts (jowar, ragi, bajra). APEDA also launched a variety of "Millet in Minutes" products under the category of Ready-to-Eat (RTE) such as Upma, Pongal, Khichadi, Noodles, Biryani, etc, which is a breakthrough in the food sector as it's the first RTE millet product in the market to cater fast-paced world at their convenience in a healthy way. All the RTE products are vacuum processed without any additives, fillers and preservatives. Nutrition value is retained as original with a shelf-life of 12 months in ambient temperature. 6#7+ Vegetable Oil Intelligence • Indonesia has finally lifted the ban on export of Palm oil with certain condition w.e.f. 23rd May, 2022. • Also export tax & levy reduced to US$ 488 from US$ 575 to stimulate export. This will increase export from Indonesia which will have dampening effect on price in world market. • The import ration of Palm oil & Soft oil (Soybean, Sunflower, Rape ect.) in May, 2022 was narrowed at 51:49 percent as compared to previous month (64:36 percent).#8POLICY UPDATES#901 02 03 04 70 Government announced Minimum Support Price (MSP) for all Kharif crops for marketing season 2022-23. • Bajra records highest return over cost 85% (Rs. 2385/ quintal). • The maximum increase over previous year recorded in Til (Sesamum) i.e. Rs 523 (Rs. 7830/quintal) and minimum. in Maize Rs. 92 (Rs. 1962/ quintal) in terms of absolute value. During April, 2022 approximately 514 Sanitary & Phytosanitary measure (SPS) and Technical Barriers to Trade (TBT) measures were announced by the WTO member countries with most of the regions primarily focusing on Protection of human health or safety, animal and food safety, Consumer information, labelling, Prevention of deceptive practices and consumer protection. Union Ministry for Fisheries, Animal Husbandry and Dairying funds for Mobile Veterinary Units (MVUS) to the States/UTs. Under this scheme @ 1 MVU for every one lakh livestock population. These MVUs will be customized fabricated vehicles for veterinary healthcare with equipment for diagnosis, treatment & minor surgery, audio visual aids and other basic requirements for treatment of animals. Union Ministry of Fisheries, Animal Husbandry and Dairying released the Breed-Wise Report Of Livestock And Poultry based on 20th Livestock Census on 12th May,2022. The breed-wise data collection was done along with 20th Livestock Census during the year 2019. It was for the first time in the country that breed wise data was collected by using tablet computers instead of paper mode which is indeed a unique attempt. 9#10O Exports to Canada Indian banana & baby corn get market access in Canada. The negotiations between National Plant Protection Organisations of India and Canada on market access for Indian Banana and Baby corn resulted in Canadian market access for these commodities. Export of fresh baby corn from India to Canada may begin from April 2022 after updation of directive D-95-28: Plant Protection Import and Domestic Movement Requirements for Corn and the Automated Import Reference System (AIRS). Further, based on the technical information provided for fresh banana by India, Canada has approved, banana for entry into Canada with immediate effect. Relaxations in Wheat Exports The government has announced some relaxation to its order dated 13th May issued by Directorate General of Foreign Trade (DGFT), Department of Commerce on restricting wheat exports. It has been decided that wherever wheat consignments have been handed over to Customs for examination and have been registered into their systems on or prior to 13.5.2022, such consignments would be allowed to be exported. 10#11PMKSY Ministry of Food Processing Industries, Government of India is inviting applications under the following sub-schemes of Pradhan Mantri Kisan Sampada Yojana (PMKSY): Scheme for Creation of Infrastructure for Agro Processing Clusters (APC) ⚫ Scheme for Creation/Expansion of Food Processing & Preservation Capacities [Unit Scheme] (CEFPPC) • Scheme for Integrated Cold Chain and Value Addition Infrastructure (Cold Chain) • Food Safety and Quality Assurance Infrastructure (FTL) • Operation Greens-long Term Interventions (OG) • Applications may be submitted online at https://sampada-mofpi.gov.in by the prospective promoters/ investors/ entrepreneurs who are eligible and willing to set up food processing related facilities / units w.e.f. 10.00 hrs of 27th June, 2022. • Applications need to be submitted as per the revised operational guidelines dated 08.06.2022 of the respective sub-scheme available on www.mofpi.gov.in • Pre-bid meeting will be held on 04th July, 2022 at 11.00 hrs in Room No. 120, Panchsheel Bhawan, August Kranti Marg, New Delhi. • Applications received under the sub-schemes in response to Expression of Interest (Eol) will be evaluated separately and sanctioned on merit subject to fulfilling eligibility criteria and meeting the minimum qualifying assessment criteria as mentioned in the relevant guidelines of the sub-schemes. • The demand drafts, in original, should reach the Ministry not later than one week after last date of submission of application. • Last date for submission of online application is 17.00 hrs of 10th August, 2022. 11#12Madhurmithas The Uttar Pradesh Madhurmithas Brand added to the already expanding portfolio of ODOP brands launched on 5th May, 2020 under the Scheme Formalisation of Micro food processing Enterprises (PMFME) by Union Ministry of Food Processing Industries. The Ministry has signed an agreement with NAFED for developing 10 brands of selected 20 ODOPs under the branding and marketing component of the PMFME scheme. Brand - Madhumantra (Saharanpur, Uttar Pradesh, Product: Multiflora Honey) was launched in January 2022. The Brand Madhurmithas has introduced Jaggery Powder and has been exclusively developed under the ODOP concept for the district Muzaffarnagar, Uttar Pradesh. The product is a sweetener without any chemicals and also healthier and more delicious than sugar. The 500g standy zip pouch is resealable to allow convenient & safe storage and is attractively priced at Rs. 80. 12#13GLOBAL AND INDIA SUPPLY AND DEMAND SCENARIO#14Global Supply and Demand scenario:- Elements 2021/22 estimate 2022/23 Change: 2022/23 over forecast 2021/22 estimate 2021/22 Unit % Change: Change: 2022/23 forecast 2021/22 2022/23 2022/23 over estimate forecast 2022/23 over 2021/22 2021/22 % % Million tonnes Million tonnes Million tonnes Maize Rice Wheat Supply 1,493.85 1,491.51 -0.16 712.25 711.84 -0.06 1,068.21 1,067.37 -0.08 Opening Stocks 287.11 303.71 5.78 191.44 192.38 0.49 291.37 296.55 1.78 Production 1,206.74 1,187.80 -1.57 520.81 519.46 -0.26 776.83 770.82 -0.77 Domestic Utilization 1,194.85 1,189.66 -0.43 521.04 521.99 0.18 771.69 768.59 -0.4 Food Use 145.65 146.3 0.45 423.7 428.39 1.11 531.3 535.92 0.87 Feed Use 702.9 697.52 -0.76 22.19 19.92 -10.25 149.78 143.68 -4.07 Other Uses 346.3 345.83 -0.13 75.15 73.69 -1.95 90.61 88.99 -1.78 Trade 180.81 174.18 -3.67 53.07 53.88 1.53 192.15 188.94 -1.67 Closing Stocks 303.71 300.27 -1.13 192.38 191.59 -0.41 296.55 297.75 0.41 14#151,600.00 1,400.00 1,200.00 1,000.00 800.00 600.00 400.00 200.00 0.00 Global Supply and Demand Maize (In Million Tonnes) Supply Opening Stocks Production Domestic Utilization Food Use Feed Use Other Uses Trade Closing Stocks 1,200.00 1,000.00 800.00 600.00 400.00 200.00 0.00 Supply Opening Stocks Production Domestic Utilization 800 700 600 500 400 300 2021-22 Estimate 200 100 ■■2022-23 Estimate 0 Supply Opening Stocks Global Supply and Demand Rice (In Million Tonnes) Production Domestic Utilization Food Use Feed Use Other Uses Trade Global Supply and Demand Wheat (In Million Tonnes) Food Use Feed Use Other Uses Trade Closing Stocks ■2021-22 Estimate ■2022-23 Estimate Closing Stocks ■2021-22 Estimate ■2022-23 Estimate 15#16All India Supply and Demand scenario:- 2021/22 2022/23 Elements Change: 2022/23 over estimate forecast 2021/22 estimate 2022/23 forecast Change: 2022/23 over 2021/22 2022/23 Change: 2022/23 over estimate forecast 2021/22 2021/22 2021/22 Unit Million tonnes % Million tonnes % Million tonnes % Maize Rice Wheat Total Supply 34.35 33.74 -1.77 163.84 166.38 1.55 137.59 129.5 -5.88 Opening Stocks 2.33 1.71 -26.54 37.6 39 3.72 28 24 -14.29 Production 32 32 0 126.24 127.38 0.9 109.59 105.5 -3.73 Imports (NMY) 0.02 0.03 42.86 0 0 0 0.01 0.01 0 Total Utilization 34.35 33.74 -1.77 163.84 166.38 1.55 137.59 129.5 -5.88 Domestic Utilization 29 29 0 105.14 106.18 0.99 104.99 105 0.01 Food Use 8.6 8.6 0 98.19 99.14 0.97 83.7 84.5 0.96 Feed Use 14.7 14.7 0 0.2 0.2 0 7.5 8 6.67 Other Uses 5.7 5.7 0 6.75 6.84 1.28 13.79 12.51 -9.33 Exports (NMY) 3.64 3.4 -6.57 19.7 20.3 3.05 8.6 6.5 -24.42 Closing Stocks 1.71 1.34 -21.63 39 39.9 2.31 24 18 -25#1740 49 35 30 25 20 Total Supply Opening Stocks 15 10 Production Imports (NMY) Total Utilization Domestic Utilization All India Supply and Demand Maize (In Million Tonnes) חוייי Food Use Feed Use Other Uses Exports (NMY) Closing Stocks 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Total Supply Opening Stocks Production Imports (NMY) Total Utilization 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 2021-22 Estimate 40 2022-23 Estimate 20 0 Total Supply Opening Stocks Production Imports (NMY) All India Supply and Demand Wheat (In Million Tonnes) Domestic Utilization Food Use Feed Use Other Uses Exports (NMY) Closing Stocks All India Supply and Demand Rice (In Million Tonnes) Total Utilization Domestic Utilization Food Use 2021-22 Estimate ■2022-23 Estimate Feed Use Other Uses Exports (NMY) Closing Stocks 17 2021-22 Estimate 2022-23 Estimate#18UTTAR PRADESH AGRICULTURE EXPORT Year 2020-21 vs 2021-22#192020-21 2021-22 % increase over Previous year % increase over Previous year Product Name Qty in MT Rs. Crore Qty in MT Rs. Crore Qty in MT Rs. Crore BUFFALO MEAT 603889.65 13166.36 647247.96 13461.38 7.18 2.24 NON BASMATI RICE 360906.25 913.22 378089.12 902.60 4.76 -1.16 BASMATI RICE 107265.86 845.60 46067.41 385.07 -57.05 -54.46 MISCELLANEOUS 33012.60 618.08 45380.24 713.57 37.46 15.45 PREPARATIONS CEREAL 23229.49 380.00 22037.55 389.50 -5.13 2.50 PREPARATIONS WHEAT 124695.68 231.81 145735.37 273.56 16.87 18.01 ALCOHOLIC 24051.89 219.70 18180.75 188.82 -24.41 -14.06 BEVERAGES OTHER FRESH 157484.87 214.36 163366.23 161.00 3.73 -24.89 VEGETABLES DAIRY PRODUCTS 3799.97 151.38 5000.59 198.14 31.60 30.89 MAIZE 94926.86 135.94 87252.54 177.31 -8.08 30.43 PROCESSED VEGETABLES 40158.76 131.67 34229.08 131.13 -14.77 -0.41 Source: (DGCIS) https://agriexchange.apeda.gov.in#20Product Name Qty in MT JAGGERY & CONFECTIONERY 14101.70 2020-21 Rs. Crore Qty in MT 105.77 17841.57 2021-22 % increase over Previous year % increase over Previous year Rs. Crore Qty in MT Rs. Crore 121.84 26.52 15.19 FRESH ONIONS 74692.67 98.70 109181.82 173.14 46.17 75.42 PULSES 8230.47 91.12 4062.56 50.55 -50.64 -44.52 OTHER FRESH FRUITS 65844.78 89.85 84728.07 133.37 28.68 48.44 NATURAL HONEY 8320.54 89.29 8200.51 132.72 -1.44 48.64 ANIMAL CASINGS 2218.83 79.25 3153.07 135.37 42.11 70.81 COCOA PRODUCTS 780.39 44.14 612.11 58.76 -21.56 33.12 SHEEP/GOAT MEAT 861.34 32.58 828.13 32.89 -3.86 0.95 MILLED PRODUCTS 5710.49 24.73 3209.20 13.60 -43.80 -45.01 PROCESSED FRUITS, 1454.38 20.23 1444.18 21.47 -0.70 6.13 JUICES & NUTS FRESH GRAPES 5052.33 12.83 9510.31 29.27 88.24 128.14 20 Source: (DGCIS) https://agriexchange.apeda.gov.in#212020-21 2021-22 Product Name Qty in MT PROCESSED MEAT 624.00 Rs. Crore Qty in MT 8.06 299.34 Rs. Crore 5.36 % increase over Previous year Qty in MT % increase over Previous year Rs. Crore -52.03 -33.50 OTHERS (BETEL LEAVES 182.68 6.87 185.10 8.29 1.32 20.67 & NUTS) OTHER CEREALS 542.50 5.69 426.15 1.93 -21.45 -66.08 GROUNDNUTS 598.85 3.88 1291.47 8.96 115.66 130.93 FLORICULTURE 404.56 3.42 854.28 3.67 111.16 7.31 FRUITS & VEGETABLES 144.14 1.37 117.91 1.08 -18.20 -21.17 SEEDS FRESH MANGOES 105.44 1.26 4122.79 8.49 3810.08 573.81 GUAR GUM 73.96 1.10 40.14 0.69 -45.73 -37.27 ALBUMIN (Eggs & Milk) 10.62 0.67 9.60 0.95 -9.60 41.79 Source: (DGCIS) https://agriexchange.apeda.gov.in 21#222020-21 2021-22 Product Name Qty in MT Rs. Crore Qty in MT Rs. Crore Qty in MT % increase over Previous year % increase over Previous year Rs. Crore CASHEW KERNELS 95.57 0.46 83.93 2.57 -12.18 458.70 MANGO PULP 34.29 0.27 109.06 0.40 218.05 48.15 CARDANOL 21.39 0.14 131.59 0.85 515.19 507.14 CUCUMBER AND GHERKINS( PREPD. & 4.65 0.05 0.63 0.04 -86.45 -20.00 PRESVD) WALNUTS 2.24 0.04 0.05 0.01 -97.77 -75.00 CASEIN 0.15 0.01 1739.30 120.85 1159433.33 1208400.00 OTHER MEAT 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 Total 1763534.84 17729.90 1844770.71 18049.21 4.61 1.80 Source: (DGCIS) https://agriexchange.apeda.gov.in 22#232021-2022 Top 10 Agriculture Export Destinations INDIA Sl.No. Export Value Export Value Country Top 5 exported commodity Country (Rs. Crore) (Rs. Crore) BANGLADESH 1 21154.68 PR Wheat, Non Basmati Rice, Maize, Fresh Onions, Other Fresh Fruits EGYPT A RP 3977.38 2 U ARAB EMTS 11971.03 Basmati Rice, Miscellaneous Preparations, Wheat, Cashew Kernels, Buffalo Meat NEPAL 2300.22 3 USA 9328.77 Basmati Rice, Miscellaneous Preparations, Natural Honey, Guar Gum, Cereal Preparations INDONESIA 1721.23 4 VIETNAM SOC REP 9254.05 Buffalo Meat, Maize, Non Basmati Rice, Groundnuts, Animal Casings VIETNAM SOC REP 1670.63 UTTAR PRADESH Top 5 exported commodity Buffalo Meat, Dairy Products, Jaggery & Confectionery, Guar Gum Non Basmati Rice, Wheat, Cereal Preparations, Maize, Fresh Onions Buffalo Meat, Dairy Products, Miscellaneous Preparations, Jaggery & Confectionery, Casein Buffalo Meat, Animal Casings, Jaggery & Confectionery, Miscellaneous Preparations, Non Basmati Rice Buffalo Meat, Miscellaneous Preparations, Jaggery & Confectionery, Casein, Natural Honey 5 SAUDI ARAB 8394.35 Basmati Rice, Buffalo Meat, Non Basmati Rice, Processed Fruits, Juices & Nuts, Cashew Kernels MALAYSIA 1580.1 Source: (DGCIS) https://agriexchange.apeda.gov.in#242021-2022 Top 10 Agriculture Export Destinations UTTAR PRADESH Top 5 exported commodity Buffalo Meat, Basmati Rice, Non Basmati Rice, Natural Honey, Processed Fruits, Juices & Nuts Buffalo Meat, Animal Casings, Miscellaneous Preparations, Processed Meat, Dairy Products INDIA Sl.No. Export Value Country Top 5 exported commodity (Rs. Crore) Export Value Country (Rs. Crore) 6 NEPAL 8203.94 Non Basmati Rice, Maize, Wheat, Cereal Preparations, Other Fresh Vegetables IRAQ 1219.88 7 MALAYSIA 7866.72 Buffalo Meat, Non Basmati Rice, Miscellaneous Preparations, Maize, Fresh Onions HONG KONG 876.53 8 INDONESIA 7430.98 9 IRAN 7171.07 10 10 EGYPT A RP 6102.08 Source: (DGCIS) https://agriexchange.apeda.gov.in Groundnuts, Buffalo Meat, Wheat Non, Basmati Rice, Miscellaneous Preparations Basmati Rice, Other Fresh Fruits, Non Basmati Rice, Miscellaneous Preparations, Groundnuts Buffalo Meat, Basmati Rice, Non Basmati Rice, Dairy Products, Miscellaneous Preparations SAUDI ARAB 716.6 Buffalo Meat, Dairy Products, Basmati Rice, Cereal Preparations, Sheep/Goat Meat U ARAB EMTS 680.23 USA 645.64 Buffalo Meat, Alcoholic Beverages, Non Basmati Rice, Miscellaneous Preparations, Natural Honey Miscellaneous Preparations, Natural Honey, Casein, Dairy Products, Cereal Preparations#25Source: (DGCIS) https://agriexchange.apeda.gov.in Over 200 crore Export Commodity of Uttar Pradesh (Total Export value in 2021-22, 18049.21 crore) BASMATI RICE, 385.07cr, 2% OTHERS, 1923.53cr, 11% WHEAT, 273.56cr, 1% CEREAL PREPARATIONS, 389.50cr, 2% MISCELLANEOUS PREPARATIONS, 713.57cr, 4% BUFFALO MEAT, 13461.38cr, 75% NON BASMATI RICE, 902.60cr, 5%#26MARKET INTELLIGENCE#27Paddy • The FAO All Rice Price Index (2014-2016=100) rose for the fifth successive month in May to reach 109.2 points, up 3.5 percent from April and just 1.2 percent below its year-earlier level. May export prices of Indica rice were generally firm in Pakistan, Thailand and Viet Nam, as offshore demand remained upbeat, counteracting the influence of currency depreciations vis-à-vis the United States dollar in these exporters. Although this was also the case for prices of lower quality supplies in India, quotations of higher quality rice continued to ease in India weighed by the arrival of the recently harvested "Rabi" rice in the context of the already ample rice stocks. In the Americas, expectations of consecutive output declines kept long-grain prices in the United States of America on the rise, despite low demand. • International rice prices continued to increase, while prices of coarse grains declined. In May, 2022 International export prices of Indian Rice (25% broken) was quoted at US Doller 329.25/tonnes where as it was US Doller 326/tonnes in April, 2022. MSP for the Kharif Marketing season 2022-23 is Rs. 2040/quintals for common paddy and Rs. 2060/quintals for Paddy Grade-A. Which is 5.2% and 5.1% higher than previous year, respectively and is 50% over return of cost of production. In the next kharif season 2022-23 Uttar Pradesh government has set target to increase 17.04 lakh metric tonnes(Imt) paddy production to 177 Imt. 27#28Wheat • International wheat prices increased steeply in May in response to the announcement of a wheat export ban by India. As exports from Ukraine remain hindered by war disruptions, and after India's larger wheat shipments in recent months played an important role in partially offsetting lost exports from Ukraine, the country's export restriction exacerbated global availability uncertainty. Against that background, concerns over crop conditions in Argentina, Canada and the United States of America, raised the Argentina (Up River, f.o.b), Canada (St. Lawrence, CWRS) and benchmark United States of America (US No. 2, Hard Red Winter) quotations by 11, 8, and 5 percent, respectively, month on month. • International wheat prices continued to increase, while prices of coarse grains declined. • As of 13 May 2022, the Government of India have prohibited exports of wheat to help ensure adequate domestic supply, including the large quantities of wheat needed to run various welfare schemes amid increasing global wheat prices as well as lower than previously anticipated 2022 wheat production, due to a heatwave in March. However, some exports will be allowed, in order to honor contracts where irrevocable letters of credit have already been issued or by special permission of the government at the request of neighbouring and food-deficit countries to ensure their food security.#29Wheat • On 15 May 2022, the Government of India extended the 2022/23 "Rabi" Marketing Season (RMS), typically occurring from April to March, wheat procurement deadline through 31 May 2022 (in a few states procurement will continue until mid-July 2022). As of 14 May 2022, wheat procured during the 2022/23 RMS amounted to 18 million tonnes, compared with a total of 36.7 million tonnes during the 2021/22 RMS. • In addition, the government lowered the quality specification for wheat to be procured during 2022/23, with the maximum allowed limit for shriveled/broken grains set at 18 percent, up from the previous 6 percent, for Punjab and Haryana, including U.T. of Chandigarh. The latter decision aims to ensure more farmers have the possibility to sell their wheat at the established procurement price and thus limit potential distress sales and farmer hardship. ⚫In May 2022, Argentina up river f.o.b. wheat prices was quoted at US Dollar 449/tonnes.#30Maize • By contrast, international coarse grain prices fell in May for a second consecutive month. Maize export quotations from Brazil (Paranagua, feed) led the decline, falling by 7 percent, with the imminent start of the main maize harvest, which is forecast to be a record, exerting downward pressure on markets, while seasonal supplies from ongoing harvests amid strong export pace, kept Argentina (Up River, f.o.b.) quotations stable month on month. The benchmark United States of America (US No.2, Yellow, f.o.b.) maize price fell by 1 percent, with planting progress picking up as weather conditions improved slightly. World sorghum prices also declined in tandem with maize price trends, while spill-over effects from the strength in wheat markets and concerns over crop conditions in the European Union boosted barley prices month on month. • International wheat and rice prices continued to increase, while prices of coarse grains declined • In May,2022 International export prices of Argentina maize was quoted at US Doller 314.55/tonnes where as it was US Doller 315.71/tonnes in April, 2022. • MSP for the Kharif Marketing season 2022-23 is Rs. 1962/quintals for maize. Which is Rs. 92 increases over previous year (4.9% higher than previous year), and is 50% over return of cost of production. • In the next kharif season 2022-23 Uttar Pradesh government has set target to increase 1.0 lakh hectare area under maize to increase 6.93 lakh metric tonnes (Imt) production to the targeted level at 21.60 lmt. 30#31PRICE OUTLOOK BLO#32A Yearly Average Wholesale State Level Price for Rabi Crops Year S.No Wheat Yearly Average Wholesale price (Rs./ quintal) Barley Chana Masoor 8000 Mustard 7000 1 2017-18 1602 1556 5835 4450 3514 6000 2 2018-19 1798 1641 4646 4174 3783 3 2019-20 1924 1841 4919 4866 3913 5000 4 2020-21 1796 1677 5157 5610 4667 5 2021-22 1888 1818 5581 6731 6609 4000 05 Year average 1802 1707 5228 5166 4497 3000 % Change over 5 years 20.1 18.32 25.59 61.26 88.08 2000 Yearly Average Wholesale State Level Price for Rabi Crops 1000 In 05 years highest % change recorded in Mustard (88.08%) and least in Barley (18.32%) 0 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 32 Wheat Barley Barley Chana Chana Masoor Mustard#33Minimum Rate Maximum Rate B Month S.No Wheat Barley Monthly Average Wholesale price (Rs./ quintal) Chana Lentil Pea Mustard 1 June, 2021 1925 5 1686 5599 ☐ 6 6348 6029 6237 2 July, 2021 1709 1692 5474 6338 5932 6292 3 August, 2021 1713 1710 5496 6471 6043 6500 4 September, 2021 1800 00 1: 1758 5598 6763 6219 6828 5 October, 2021 1877 1830 5640 7016 6349 7175 6 November, 2021 1909 1896 5633 7133 6372 7266 7 December, 2021 1921 21 1 1935 5602 7143 6566 7159 80 January, 2022 1940 40 19 1964 5600 7152 6637 6959 9 February, 2022 1973 2035 5593 7135 6620 6847 10 March, 2022 2030 2064 5563 7135 6488 6589 11 April, 2022 2045 2202 5520 7117 6295 6439 12 May, 2022 2055 2292 5533 7163 6179 6434 Average Wholesale prce 1908 1922 5571 6910 6311 6727 May 2021 973 16 1642 5678 6210 6268 6100 % Change in May 2022 over May 2021 4.16 39.59 -2.55 15.35 -1.42 5.48 Monthly average wholesale State level price Rabi crops It is clear from the table that the wholesale prices of agricultural commodities wheat, gram, lentil and pea remained lowest in the month of July, 2021 while the wholesale prices of wheat, barley and lentil remained highest in the month of May, 2022. In the month May, 2022, the maximum price increase recorded in Barley (39.59%) and maximum decrease in Gram (-2.55%) over the May,2021. 33#348000 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 Monthly average Wholesale State level price Rabi crops June, 2021 July, 2021 August, 2021 September, 2021 October, 2021 November, 2021 Wheat Barley Chana Masoor December, 2021 January, 2022 February, 2022 March, 2022 April, 2022 Pea Mustard May, 2022#35C Yearly Average Wholesale State Level Price for Kharif Crops Yearly Average Wholesale price (Rs./ quintal) Year S.No Paddy III Rice III Jowar Bajra Maize Arhar Urd Moong Til Groundnut Cotton 1 2017-18 1471 2289 1566 1235 1332 4523 5236 5195 6574 4774 4706 2 2018-19 1630 2369 1863 1383 1494 4550 4670 5397 8870 4662 5195 3 2019-20 1706 2484 2408 1838 1860 5285 5656 6199 9748 4942 5330 4 2020-21 1738 2468 2289 1432 1607 5350 7235 7200 9304 5151 5047 5 2021-22 1685 2485 2585 1533 1717 6054 7536 7366 9094 5607 6509 05 Year average 1646 2419 2142 1484 1602 5152 6067 6271 8718 5027 5357 % Change over 5 years 18.15 8.56 65.07 48.83 39.64 33.85 61.37 41.79 48.28 20.27 38.31 During the above five years, maximum change was 65.07 percent in Jowar and minimum 08.56 percent in Rice III. 35#3612000 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 Yearly Average Wholesale State Level Price for Kharif Crops 0 Paddy III Rice III Jowar Bajra Maize Arhar Urd Moong Til Groundnut Cotton 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 ■2021-22#37Minimum Rate Maximum Rate D Month S.No Monthly Average Wholesale price (Rs./ quintal) Paddy III Rice III Jowar Bajra Maize 1 June, 2021 1496 2489 3242 1312 1627 2 July, 2021 1462 2487 3213 1372 1645 3 August, 2021 1495 2491 2237 1456 1678 4 September, 2021 1560 2493 2085 1599 1709 5 October, 2021 1588 2491 2241 1558 1729 6 November, 2021 1940 2490 1973 1619 1786 7 December, 2021 1929 2474 2109 1665 1799 8 January, 2022 1930 2480 2351 1666 1801 9 February, 2022 1892 2493 2472 1709 1832 10 March, 2022 1798 2518 2436 1817 1864 11 April, 2022 1709 2541 2786 1970 1947 12 May, 2022 1655 2560 2940 2002 1956 Average Wholesale price 1705 2501 2507 1645 1781 May 2021 1522 2468 3319 1330 1572 % Change in May 2022 over 8.74 3.73 -11.42 50.53 24.43 May 2021 State level Monthly average wholesale price of Kharif food grains It is clear from the above table that the wholesale prices of agricultural commodities Bajra and Maize remained the lowest in the month of June, 2021 while the wholesale prices of agricultural commodities Rice, Bajra and remained highest in the month of May, 2022. In the May, 2022, the maximum increase in the wholesale price over May, 2021 was 50.53% in the Bajra and a decline of -11.42% in the Jowar. 37#383500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 State level Monthly average wholesale price of Kharif food grains June, 2021 July, 2021 August, 2021 September, 2021 Paddy October, 2021 November, 2021 December, 2021 Rice - Jowar January, 2022 February, 2022 Bajra Maize March, 2022 April, 2022 May, 2022#39Maximum Rate E Month S.No Urad Black Moong Sesame Green White Groundnut Arhar Monthly Average Wholesale price (Rs./ quintal) 1 June, 2021 7766 7335 8834 5357 5977 2 July, 2021 7526 7210 8483 5163 5967 3 August, 2021 7602 7145 8538 5371 5850 4 September, 2021 7696 7275 8859 5235 6018 5 October, 2021 7529 7368 8979 5555 6249 6 November, 2021 7432 7390 9295 5642 6248 7 December, 2021 7413 7383 9363 5731 6211 80 January, 2022 7340 7383 9490 5799 6209 9 February, 2022 7377 7376 9641 6055 6229 10 10 March, 2022 7367 7472 9601 6186 6192 11 April, 2022 7315 7569 9623 5957 6252 12 May, 2022 7346 7664 9549 6067 6356 Average Wholesale prce 7476 7381 9188 5677 6147 May 2021 7725 7549 8921 5549 5907 % Change in May 2022 over May 2021 -4.91 1.52 7.04 9.34 7.60 Minimum Rate State Level Monthly Average Wholesale Price of Kharif Pulses / Oilseed and Others Crop It is clear from the above table that the wholesale prices of Sesame White and Groundnut remained the lowest in the month of July, 2021 while the wholesale prices of Moong Green and Arhar remained highest in the month of May, 2022. In the May, 2022, the maximum increase in the wholesale price over previous year month was noticed in Groundnut (09.34%) and a decline of -4.91% in the Urd Black. 39#4012000 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 State Level Monthly Average Wholesale Price of Kharif Pulses / Oilseed and Others Crop June, 2021 July, 2021 August, September, October, November, December, January, February, 2021 2021 2021 2021 2022 2021 2022 March, April, 2022 May, 2022 2022 Urad Black Moong Green Sesame White Groundnut Arhar#41LL State Level Yearly Average Wholesale Price of Vegetables 8000 7000 Yearly Average Wholesale price (Rs./ quintal) Year S.No Potato Onion Garlic Ginger Tomato Brinjal Bottle Gourd Pumpkin 6000 State Level Yearly Average Wholesale Price of Vegetables 1 2017-18 537 1765 3385 2876 1865 1023 936 904 5000 2 2018-19 1041 1134 2150 4613 1173 1032 939 908 4000 3 2019-20 974 3038 6749 6034 1699 1344 1151 1112 3000 4 2020-21 1760 2150 6996 4193 1890 1174 1049 1056 5 2021-22 1004 1977 5461 2767 1644 1384 1223 1170 2000 05 Year average 1063 2013 4948 4097 1654 1191 1060 1030 1000 % Change over 5 227.75 167.90 225.40 118.07 61.13 35.29 30.66 29.42 years 0 During the above five years, the maximum change was 227.75 percent in potato and the lowest was 29.42 percent in pumpkin 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 ■2021-22 41#42Minimum Rate Maximum Rate G Monthly Average Wholesale price (Rs./ quintal) Month S.No Potato Onion Tomato Ginger Garlic Brinjal Bottle Gourd Green Pumpkin Chilly State Level Monthly Average Wholesale Price of Vegetables 1 June, 2021 1040 1718 951 2824 5878 1281 925 862 1886 2 July, 2021 1045 2054 1815 3038 6152 1546 1123 1145 2638 3 August, 2021 1034 2076 1948 3182 6254 1498 1129 1184 2934 4 September, 2021 1006 1952 1480 3106 6120 1330 929 966 2650 5 October, 2021 1165 2545 2777 2978 5921 1555 1137 1096 ☐ 2 2608 16 November, 2021 1362 2442 3487 2815 5750 1518 1342 1246 2770 7 December, 2021 945 1863 2226 2525 5153 1254 1372 1298 1869 8 January, 2022 842 1941 1264 2410 4586 1288 3 1 1509 1384 2023 9 February, 2022 831 12 2161 1082 2395 5 43 4361 1502 1711 1515 2992 10 March, 2022 908 1 2119 1120 2566 4312 1749 1736 1581 31 4 4816 11 April, 2022 927 1409 1251 2652 4054 1489 1380 1211 3629 12 May, 2022 1085 1219 1839 2750 3806 1452 941 11 9 921 2774 Average Wholesale price 1016 1958 1770 2770 5196 1455 1270 1201 2799 May 2021 1015 1462 749 19 2 2765 5573 1073 73 838 8 -31.71%. 819 2193 % Change in May 6.90 -16.62 145.53 -0.54 2022 over May 2021 -31.71 35.32 12.29 12.45 26.49 It is clear from the above table that the wholesale prices of Tomato, Bottle Gourd and Pumpkin were the lowest in the month of June, 2021 while the wholesale prices of Brinjal, Bottle Gourd, Pumpkin and Green Chilly remained highest in the month of March, 2022. In the of May, 2022, the highest increase in the wholesale price relative to the previous year in the month of May, 2021 was in Tomato 145.53% and maximum decline in Garlic 42#437000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 State Level Monthly Average Wholesale Price of Vegetables 0 June, 2021 July, 2021 August, 2021 September, October, November, December, 2021 2021 2021 2021 Potato Onion Tomato Ginger Garlic Brinjal January, February, March, 2022 April, 2022 May, 2022 2022 2022 Bottle Gourd Pumpkin Green Chilly#44H State Level Yearly Average Wholesale Price of Fruits Yearly Average Wholesale price (Rs./ quintal) Year S.No Orange Musammi Banana Apple Lemon Pomegranate Grapes Papaya Guava Mango Ripe 1 2017-18 2688 2552 2154 6468 2717 4696 4137 1885 1745 2746 2 2018-19 3084 2761 2111 6478 3031 4670 4668 1895 1713 3328 3 2019-20 3050 3221 2344 6175 3931 4840 4680 2244 1857 3220 4 2020-21 2737 2901 2274 6559 3027 5530 6416 2096 2027 3787 LO 5 2021-22 3898 3136 2354 7965 3451 5529 6782 2379 3898 3136 05 Year average 3091 2914 2247 6729 3231 5053 5337 2100 2248 3243 % Change over 5 years 45.01 26.21 11.51 28.99 44.68 18.42 63.94 26.21 127.55 37.91 In the above five years, the maximum change was in 127.55 percent in guava and the least in 11.51 percent in banana. 44#459000 8000 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 Orange Musammi Banana Apple Lemon State Level Yearly Average Wholesale Price of Fruits Pomegranate 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 ■2021-22 Grapes Papaya Guava Mango Ripe#46Minimum Support Price (MSP) according to Crop Year. Sl.No. Commodity Minimum Support Price (MSP) in Rs./ quintal 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 1 Wheat 1735 1840 1925 1975 2015 2 Barley 1410 1440 1525 1600 1635 3 Chana 4400 4620 4875 5100 5230 4 Masoor 4250 4475 4800 5100 5500 5 Mustard 4000 4200 4425 4650 5050 6 Paddy III 1550 1750 1815 1868 1940 7 Jowar Hybrid 1700 2430 2550 2620 2738 8 00 Bajra 1425 1950 2000 2150 2250 9 Maize 1425 1700 1760 1850 1870 10 Ragi 1900 2897 3150 3295 3377 11 Arhar 5450 5675 5800 6000 6300 46#47Sl.No. Commodity 2017-18 2018-19 Minimum Support Price (MSP) in Rs./ quintal 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 12 Moong 5575 6975 7050 7196 7275 13 Urd 5400 5600 5700 6000 6300 14 Ground Nut 4450 4890 5090 5275 5550 15 Soybean Yellow 3050 3399 3710 3880 3950 16 17 Sunflower Sesame(Til) 4100 5388 5650 5327 6015 5300 6249 6485 6855 7307 18 Cotton Medium 4020 5150 5255 5515 5726 19 Niger Seed 4050 5877 5940 6695 6930 20 20 Safflower 4100 4945 5215 5327 5441 23 Sugarcane (F.R.P.) 255 275 275 285 290 Source- https://agricoop.nic.in 47#48THANK YOU Directorate of Agricultural Marketing & Agricultural Foreign Trade, U.P. (Agriculture Export Nodal Agency, Uttar Pradesh) 4th Floor, Kisan Mandi Bhawan, Vibhuti Khand, Gomti Nagar, Lucknow-226010 Email: [email protected], Website: www.upkrishivipran.in; Phone: 0522-2720326 77