Q2 2018 Fixed Income Investor Conference Call

Made public by

Deutsche Bank

sourced by PitchSend

8 of 32

Creator

deutsche-bank

Category

Financial

Published

2018

Slides

Transcriptions

#1Deutsche Bank Q2 2018 Fixed Income Investor Conference Call James von Moltke, Chief Financial Officer Dixit Joshi, Group Treasurer 27 July 2018#2Agenda 1 Q2 2018 results 2 3 Capital, funding and liquidity Appendix Deutsche Bank Investor Relations Q2 2018 Fixed Income Investor Call 27 July 2018 1#3Execution on strategic plan to materially improve earnings and capital generation over time ☑ Conservative balance sheet management provides a solid basis to continue reshaping the franchise and focus on growth Corporate & Investment Bank: optimization of capital & resource allocation - including leverage reductions - is well underway Private & Commercial Bank: legal entity merger and integration of Sal. Oppenheim completed Asset Management: Delivering on our communicated strategy in DWS On track to meet our near-term adjusted cost and headcount reduction targets Deutsche Bank Investor Relations Q2 2018 Fixed Income Investor Call 27 July 2018 2#4Q2 Group financial highlights € m, unless stated otherwise Higher (lower) in % Revenues Revenues of which: Specific items(1) Q2 2018 vs. Q2 2017 6,590 (0) 194 n.m. vs. Q1 2018 (6) (36) Noninterest expenses 5,784 1 (10) Costs of which: Adjusted costs 5,577 (1) (12) Cost/income ratio (in %) 88 1 ppt (5) ppt Profit before tax 711 (13) 65 Profitability Net income 401 (14) n.m. Post-tax RoTE (in %) 2.7 (0.5) ppt 1.8 ppt Earnings per share (ex AT1 coupons, in €) 0.17(2) Per share metrics Tangible book value per share (in €) 25.91 (19) (5) 184 1 Capital(4) Common Equity Tier 1 ratio (in %) Leverage ratio (in %) 13.7(5) (37) bps 38 bps 4.0 17 bps 28 bps Note: Throughout this presentation totals may not sum due to rounding differences (1) Specific items defined on slide 24 of the appendix (2) (3) Diluted EPS excluding € 292m of annual Additional Tier 1 (AT1) coupons paid in April 2018. Reported EPS of € 0.03 Change calculated based on diluted EPS Q2 2017 excluding € 288m of annual AT1 coupons paid in April 2017 (4) (5) Q2 2017 pro-forma CET1 and leverage ratios including the € 8bn gross proceeds from the 2017 capital raise not included in Q2 2017 reported numbers CET1 capital excludes H1 2018 net income of € 0.5bn (~15 bps) on CRR/ECB guidance requiring an assumed 100% payout ratio Deutsche Bank Investor Relations Q2 2018 Fixed Income Investor Call 27 July 2018 3#5H1 2018 results demonstrate the resilience of our franchise € bn, unless stated otherwise Year-over-year change, FX adjusted (1) Revenues 0.1 Noninterest expenses Profit before tax(2) (0.4) 0.5 14.0 7 13.6 0.2 12.0 0.1 12.2 Non- 0.3. operating costs (3) H1 2017 H1 2018 (0.4) 0.3 12.0 11.9 (0.6) (0.1) 1.7 Adjusted costs (4) H1 2017 H2 2018 H1 2017 1.1 H1 2018 To exclude the FX effect the prior year figures were recalculated using the corresponding current year's monthly FX rates applied to the estimated currency mix Profit before tax means Income before income taxes (IBIT) under IFRS Litigation, restructuring & severance and impairment of goodwill and other intangibles and policyholder benefits and claims B@DE (2) (3) (4) Deutsche Bank Investor Relations Adjusted costs defined as total noninterest expenses excluding restructuring & severance, litigation, impairment of goodwill and other intangibles and policyholder benefits and claims Q2 2018 Fixed Income Investor Call 27 July 2018 4#6Progress towards near-term targets Post-tax return on tangible equity Adjusted costs (€ bn) 23.9 >4.0% Q4 6.4 1.8% Q3 5.5 (1.4)% 2017 H1 2018 Target 2019 Q2 5.6 5.6 Q1 6.3 6.3 23 Employees (in 000's) (1) 22 22 97.5 95.4 <93.0 ☑ <90.0 2017 2018 Target Target 2018 2019 31 Dec 2017 30 Jun 2018 Target Target 2018 2019 Internal full-time equivalents (1) Deutsche Bank Investor Relations Q2 2018 Fixed Income Investor Call 27 July 2018 сл 5#7A conservatively managed balance sheet As of 30 June 2018 Common Equity Tier 1 capital ratio Total loss-absorbing capacity 13.7% (1) CET1 excess above SREP requirement: € 11bn (2) ☑ € 119bn Excess above MREL and TLAC requirement: € 18bn / € 40bn (3) Provision for credit losses as a % of loans H1 2018 9 bps(4) Strong underwriting track record Average Value-at-Risk H1 2018 Loans as a % of deposits Liquidity coverage ratio € 27m Tightly controlled market risk 75% 147% >70% of loans are mortgages and investment grade corporates Excess above LCR requirement of 100%: € 77bn (1) (2) CET1 capital excludes H1 2018 net income of € 0.5bn (~15 bps) on CRR/ECB guidance requiring an assumed 100% payout ratio Requirement for 2018, as part of Supervisory Review and Evaluation Process (SREP): 10.6% (3) (4) 2018 requirement for Minimum Requirement for Eligible Liabilities (MREL) set at 9.14% of Total Liabilities and Own Funds of € 1,102bn. Most binding 2019 requirement for Total Loss Absorbing Capacity (TLAC) set at 6.0% of leverage exposure Year-to-date provision for credit losses annualized as a % of loans at amortized cost Deutsche Bank Investor Relations Q2 2018 Fixed Income Investor Call 27 July 2018 6#8Agenda 1 Q2 2018 results 2 3 Capital, funding and liquidity Appendix Deutsche Bank Investor Relations Q2 2018 Fixed Income Investor Call 27 July 2018 7#9Leverage ratio € bn except movements (in basis points), CRD4, fully loaded - 3.7% - (4) 31 Mar 2018 Distributions(1) 2 2 (5) 32 4.0% DWS Other FX Effect Leverage Exposure change 30 Jun 2018 52.5 29 (114) 1,324 Tier 1 52.0 (0.5) 0.3 0.3 Leverage exposure 1,409 229 0.4 Good progress towards 4.5% leverage ratio target Improvement in leverage ratio in the quarter driven by € 85bn reduction in reported leverage (€ 114bn FX-neutral) as we execute on our strategy Business deleveraging split equally between Equities and FIC (~€ 40bn each), excluding FX, cash allocations and pending settlements On a phase-in basis, Leverage ratio at 4.2% as of June 2018 (1) Common equity dividend payment for the financial year 2017 and the annual AT1 coupon payment in the second quarter of 2018 Deutsche Bank Investor Relations Q2 2018 Fixed Income Investor Call 27 July 2018 8#10Common Equity Tier 1 Capital ratio € bn except movements (in basis points), CRD4, fully loaded 37 ले 13.4% (15) 6 (2) 13.7% 31 Mar 2018 Distributions (1) DWS Other FX Effect RWA change 30 Jun 2018 CET1 47.3 (0.5) 0.3 0.3 0.4 47.9 RWA 354 (10) 348 — CET1 capital ratio remains above 13% — (1) Reduced risk-weighted assets (RWA) in CIB as we refocus resources: - Reduction across trading businesses (~€ 5bn) reflecting generally lower Market Risk levels as well as the RWA impacts of deleveraging Lower credit risk RWA in Corporate Finance (~€ 2bn) and non strategic portfolios (~€ 1bn) H1 2018 net income of € 0.5bn (~15bps) not recognized in CET1 capital given CRR / ECB guidance requiring an assumed 100% payout ratio Common equity dividend payment for the financial year 2017 and the annual AT1 coupon payment in the second quarter of 2018 Deutsche Bank Investor Relations Q2 2018 Fixed Income Investor Call 27 July 2018 9#11Minimum Requirement for Own Funds and Eligible Liabilities (MREL), Total Loss Absorbing Capacity (TLAC) DB has a total loss absorbing capacity which is € 18bn above MREL and € 40bn above 2019 Transitional TLAC requirements (1) € 119bn Plain-vanilla senior debt (2) € 57bn € 1bn TLAC adjustments (3) AT1/Tier 2(4) € 14bn CET1(4) € 48bn Estimated available TLAC/MREL € 101bn 9.14% (of € 1,102bn) MREL requirement (TLOF(5)-based) € 79bn 6.0% (of € 1,324bn) TLAC requirement (6) (Leverage-based) - (1) (4) New MREL requirement in-line with Deutsche Bank's expectations and consistent with the bank's funding plans Based on final FSB term sheet requirements: higher of 16%/18% RWAS (plus buffers) and 6%/6.75% of leverage exposure from 2019/2022; disclosure aligned to March 2017 Basel Committee enhanced Pillar 3 disclosure standard; EU rules still to be finalized IFRS carrying value incl. hedge accounting effects; incl. all senior debt >1 year (incl. callable bonds, Schuldscheine, other domestic registered issuance); excludes legacy non-EU law bonds Exclusion of Tier 2 instruments with maturity <1 year; add-back of regulatory maturity haircut for Tier 2 instruments with maturity >1 year; G-SIB TLAC holding deductions Regulatory capital under fully loaded rules; includes AT1 and Tier 2 capital issued out of subsidiaries to third parties which is eligible until YE 2021 according to the FSB term sheet Total Liabilities and Own Funds: Principally IFRS total liabilities with derivatives after consideration of netting and IFRS equity replaced by total regulatory capital (own funds) TLAC leverage requirement currently binding constraint. RWA based 2019 Transitional TLAC requirement of € 71bn (€ 348bn RWA times 20.5%) Deutsche Bank Investor Relations Q2 2018 Fixed Income Investor Call 27 July 2018 10#12AT1/Tier2 Expected contractual maturities(1) 2018 funding plan and contractual maturities € bn 2018 funding plan Maturity profile Covered Bonds Senior Structured / Preferred Senior Non-Preferred 25 2-3 10-12 14 1 5 € 11bn funding plan in H2 2018 23 11-12 8 As of 2018 Plan 30 June 2018 Funding plan for 2018 revised to € 25bn, 55% complete - (1) 24 24 22 21 19 2 4 <t 3 4 17 2 4 LO 5 11 7 16 + 15 4 CO 1 2016 2017 I 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Raised € 13.8bn as of 30 June 2018, at 3m Euribor +56bps with an average tenor of 6.5 years € 11bn funding planned for H2 2018, roughly 2/3 structured, preferred or covered, 1/3 non-preferred Legislation allowing German banks to issue senior preferred debt passed and effective since 21 July 2018 - DB issuance to follow Currently no capital issuance planned for 2018 (absent significant spread improvement) Contractual maturities do not reflect early termination events (e.g. senior calls, knock-outs, buybacks) Q2 2018 Fixed Income Investor Call Deutsche Bank Investor Relations 27 July 2018 11#13New German insolvency hierarchy and implications Order of bail-in sequence From 21 July 2018, DB can now issue plain vanilla debt in senior preferred format in addition to previous non-preferred debt format German creditor hierarchy Different senior rating categories Notching difference Deposits €100k / short-term liabilities(1) Deposits >€ 100k of natural persons / SMEs Structured notes, derivatives, other deposits >100k(2) Plain vanilla senior preferred bonds Plain vanilla senior non-preferred bonds Tier 2 AT1 CET1 NEW MOODY'S INVESTORS SERVICE A3 Baa2 2N Size of the boxes does not indicate volume of any instrument Insured deposits and deposits by credit institutions and investment firms with original maturity <7 days are excluded from bail-in Deposits >€ 100k of large caps, all remaining deposits of financial institutions and the public sector Note: (1) (2) Deutsche Bank Investor Relations Q2 2018 Fixed Income Investor Call 27 July 2018 S&P Global Ratings Fitch Ratings BBB+ BBB- 2N A- 1N BBB+ 122 12#14External funding profile € bn, as of 30 June 2018 Secured funding and shorts(4), 15%, € 139bn Unsecured wholesale,. 3%, € 33bn Other Customers (3), 5%, € 50bn Equity (1), 7%, € 64bn Capital Markets (1),(2), 14%, € 135bn Transaction Banking, 21%, € 204bn Retail, 34%, € 323bn Total funding sources (5): € 948bn 77% from most stable funding sources - ― Funding profile well diversified: 77% of total funding from most stable sources (versus 73% in prior quarter) ~55% of external funding from retail and transaction banking deposits Total funding sources (5) decreased by € 55bn to € 948bn over the quarter The decrease was driven by lower secured funding activities primarily in Equities as a result of deleveraging activities, lower wholesale funding and a reduction in deposits (transaction banking outflows partially offset by retail inflows) (3) (4) (5) AT1 instruments are included in Capital Markets Capital markets issuance differs from long-term debt as reported in our Group IFRS accounts primarily due to TLTRO (classified under 'Secured Funding & Shorts in the above chart), issuance under our x-markets programme which we do not consider term liquidity and differences between fair value and carrying value of debt instruments as reported in Consolidation & Other 'Other Customers' includes fiduciary, self-funding structures (e.g. X-markets), margin/prime brokerage cash balances (shown on a net basis) and financing vehicles Includes € 26bn of TLTRO funding with a residual maturity of up to 2020 Funding sources exclude derivatives and other non-funding liabilities Deutsche Bank Investor Relations Q2 2018 Fixed Income Investor Call 27 July 2018 13#15Liquidity Liquidity Coverage Ratio (1) (LCR) 128% 119% 147% 147% 144% 140% Q4 2015 Q4 2016 Q2 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Liquidity Reserves, € bn | Cash and cash equivalents(2) Highly liquid and other securities (3) 285 280 279 279 215 219 46% 80% 79% 80% 73% 82% 54% 18% 20% 21% 20% 27% ☑ € 77bn above 100% require- ment ― Liquidity Coverage Ratio and Liquidity Reserves remained flat over the quarter at 147% and € 279bn The cash portion of Liquidity Reserves reduced to 73%, driven by a combination of active management to reduce excess cash in order to optimize funding costs and an increase in securities from the full recognition of Postbank securities after the integration Potential to reduce liquidity buffer during the remainder of the year Q4 2015 Q4 2016 Q2 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 LCR based upon EBA Delegated Act Held primarily at Central Banks Includes government, government guaranteed, and agency securities as well as other central bank eligible securities Deutsche Bank Investor Relations Q2 2018 Fixed Income Investor Call 27 July 2018 14#16Non-strategic legacy assets in CIB € bn Risk weighted assets excluding operational risk (35)% 13 8 30 Jun 2017 30 Jun 2018 Leverage exposure Deutsche Bank Investor Relations 43 30 Jun 2017 (35)% 28 30 Jun 2018 Q2 2018 Fixed Income Investor Call 27 July 2018 ☑ Background - Non-strategic portfolio created to facilitate the run-down of residual CIB assets in the former non-core operations unit and other items not consistent with the CIB strategy Recent performance - - Risk weighted assets and leverage exposure reduced by approximately half since inception driven by run-off and portfolio sales Portfolio now primarily includes rates, credit, residual non-core and shipping assets Natural portfolio run-off will continue over coming years, particularly credit assets. We will if economic to do so Figures do not yet include the ~ € 800m reduction to risk-weighted assets from the sale of a shipping portfolio which is expected to close in the third quarter As a result of recent strategy changes, a small amount of US inflation options inventory to be added in Q3 2018 H1 2018 revenues less credit loss provisions of € 60m 15#17Level 3 assets € bn, as of 30 June 2018 Assets (total: € 22bn) Mortgage backed securities Equity securities 1 1 Other 2 Debt securities 3 6 Loans Movements in balances 6 26 4 0 22 (11) 8 Derivative Assets 0 22 (4) 31 Dec Purchases/ Sales/ 2016 Issuances Settle- Other(1) 31 Dec Purchases/ Sales/ 2017 Issuances Settle- Other(1) 30 Jun 2018 ments ments — — Level 3 assets arise as a consequence of the bank being active in various markets, some of which are less liquid Assets are mainly booked in core businesses – only € 1.4bn are part of CIB non-strategic book Level 3 classification is not an indicator of risk or asset quality, but rather an accounting indicator of valuation uncertainty due to lack of observability of at least one valuation parameter Variety of mitigants to valuation uncertainty: — Many valuation inputs are observable Exchange of collateral with derivative counterparties Uncertain input often hedged – e.g. in Level 3 liabilities Prudent valuation capital deductions (2) specific to Level 3 balances of ~ € 0.4bn Deferred Day 1 profit on Level 3 balances of ~ € 0.4bn Portfolio is not static, as evidenced by significant inflows and outflows relative to the starting balances (1) (2) Transfers, mark-to-market, IFRS 9 Additional value adjustments deducted from CET 1 capital pursuant to Article 34 of Regulation (EU) No. 575/2013 (CRR) Deutsche Bank Q2 2018 Fixed Income Investor Call Investor Relations 27 July 2018 16#18Agenda 1 Q2 2018 results 2 3 Capital, funding and liquidity Appendix Deutsche Bank Investor Relations Q2 2018 Fixed Income Investor Call 27 July 2018 17#19AT1 and Trust Preferred Securities outstanding (1) Issuer DB Contingent Capital Trust II DB Contingent Capital Trust V Postbank Funding Trust I Postbank Funding Trust II Postbank Funding Trust III DB Capital Finance Trust I Deutsche Bank Frankfurt Deutsche Bank Frankfurt Deutsche Bank Frankfurt Regulatory Capital treatment (1) recognition (1) ISIN Current Nominal Coupon outstanding Original issuance AT1 / Tier 2 AT1 / Tier 2 AT1 / Tier 2 AT1/Tier 2 AT1 / Tier 2 Tier 2 / Tier 2 AT1/AT1 100%/100% 100% / 100% 100%/100% 100% / 100% 100% / 100% 100%/100% 100%/100% AT1/AT1 100%/100% AT1/AT1 100%/100% Deutsche Bank Frankfurt AT1/AT1 100% 100% US25153X2080 6.550% US25150L1089 8.050% DE000A0DEN75 0.978% DE000AODHUMO 4.196% DE000A0D24Z1 1.067% DE000A0E5JD4 1.750% XS1071551474 6.250% DE000DB7XHP3 6.000% US251525AN16 7.500% XS1071551391 7.125% USD 800mn USD 1,385mn EUR 300mn EUR 500mn EUR 300mn EUR 300mn USD 1,250mn EUR 1,750mn USD 1,500mn GBP 650mn 07-Jun-05 07-Jun-19 27-Jun-05 27-Jun-19 27-May-14 27-May-14 Quarterly date 23-May-07 06-Aug-18 09-May-08 30-Sep-18 Quarterly 02-Dec-04 02-Dec-18 Semi-annually 23-Dec-04 23-Dec-18 Annually Annually Next call Subsequent date call period Annually 30-Apr-20 Every 5 years 30-Apr-22 Every 5 years 21-Nov-14 30-Apr-25 27-May-14 30-Apr-26 Every 5 years Every 5 years Grandfathered legacy hybrid instruments subject to reducing Tier 1 capital recognition during phase-out period - Base notional for portfolio cap was fixed at € 12.5bn (notional as per YE 2012) Maximum recognizable volume decreases by 10% each year (from 40% in 2018 to 0% in 2022), equating to € 5.0bn in 2018 vs. outstanding of € 3.0bn Note: (1) Additional information is available on the Deutsche Bank website in the news corner of the creditor information page Pre/post 2022 based on current regulation (CRD IV/CRR); subject to portfolio cap, market making and own bonds related adjustments, for details see https://www.db.com/ir/en/capital-instruments.htm Deutsche Bank Investor Relations Q2 2018 Fixed Income Investor Call 27 July 2018 18#20Minimum Requirement for Own Funds and Eligible Liabilities (MREL) (1) Single Resolution Board (SRB) methodology (% RWA) Pillar 1 minimum requirement Pillar 2 requirement Requirements Combined buffer requirement (2) Market Confidence Charge(3) 29.27% - Loss Absorption Amount 8.00% 8.00% 2.75% 2.75% 4.51% Recapitalization Amount 3.26% MREL requirement calculated by the Single Resolution Board (SRB) from a % of risk-weighted assets (RWA), currently calibrated based on year-end 2016 data SRB translates the RWA-based requirement into a proportion of Total Liabilities and Own Funds (TLOF) (4) DB figures - DB year-end 2016 RWA: € 357bn MREL has been calculated from 29.27% of RWA (i.e. € 104.5bn) DB year-end 2016 TLOF: € 1,144bn SRB set MREL requirement of 9.14% of TLOF (i.e. € 104.5bn MREL / € 1,144bn TLOF) DB MREL requirement as per Q2 2018: € 101bn (9.14% times TLOF of 1,102bn) - Excess of € 18bn given available MREL of € 119bn (1) (2) (3) (4) 2017 MREL Policy as published by Single Resolution Board (SRB) at the 6th Industry Dialogue (Nov 21, 2017) Includes G-SIB buffer (2%), Capital conservation buffer (2.5%) and Countercyclical buffer (0.01%) Defined by the SRB as the Combined buffer less 1.25% Total Liabilities and Own Funds: Principally IFRS total liabilities with derivatives after consideration of netting and IFRS equity replaced by total regulatory capital (own funds) Deutsche Bank Investor Relations Q2 2018 Fixed Income Investor Call 27 July 2018 19#21Funding sources to TLAC reconciliation. € bn, as of 30 June 2018 198 Covered 21 (21) bonds Structured 26 (26) notes (16) (0) (16) +1 119 Plain-vanilla 73 senior debt AT1 / Tier 2 15 Shareholder's Equity 83 63 Funding Sources TLAC excluded Senior plain liabilities vanilla debt < 1 year(1) Other adjustments to senior plain- vanilla debt(2) Regulatory capital adjustments (3) Plain-vanilla 57 senior debt TLAC adjust-1- ments 14 AT1 Tier 2(5) CET1(5) 48 TLAC (capital) adjustments(4) Total TLAC (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) Funding sources view: < 1 year based on contractual maturity and next call/put option date of issuer/investor in line with WSF note; Instruments with issuer call options still qualify for TLAC Deduction of non TLAC eligible seniors (legacy non-EU law bonds; Postbank issuances; treasury deposits); recognition of senior plain-vanilla debt with issuer call options < 1 year; recognition of hedge accounting effects in line with IFRS accounting standards for DB Group; deduction of own holdings of DB's eligible senior plain-vanilla debt Regulatory capital deductions items (e.g. goodwill & other intangibles, DTA), regulatory maturity haircuts and minority deductions for Tier 2 instruments TLAC eligible capital instruments not qualifying as fully loaded regulatory capital; add-back of regulatory maturity haircut for Tier 2 instruments with maturity > 1 year; G-SIB TLAC holding deduction Regulatory capital under fully loaded rules; includes AT1 and Tier 2 capital issued out of subsidiaries to third parties which is eligible until 2021YE according to the FSB term sheet Deutsche Bank Investor Relations Q2 2018 Fixed Income Investor Call 27 July 2018 20#22Current Ratings part of loss-absorbing capacity senior to loss-absorbing capacity Counterparty obligations (e.g. Deposits / Structured Notes / Derivatives/Swaps) Senior unse- cured Long- term MOODY'S INVESTORS SERVICE S&P Global Ratings A3 Fitch Ratings DBRS BBB+(1) A- A(high) Preferred (2) A3 BBB+ A- Non-preferred Baa2 BBB- BBB+ A (low) Tier 2 Ba2 BB+ BBB Legacy T1 B1 B+ BB AT1 B1 B+ BB- Short-term P-2 A-2 F2 R-1(low) Outlook Negative Stable Negative Negative Note: (1) (2) Ratings as of 25 July 2018 The Issuer Credit Rating (ICR) is S&P's view on an obligor's overall creditworthiness. It does not apply to any specific financial obligation, as it does not take into account the nature of and provisions of the obligation, its standing in bankruptcy or liquidation, statutory preferences, or the legality and enforceability of the obligation Defined as senior-senior unsecured bank rating at Moody's, senior unsecured at S&P and preferred senior debt at Fitch Deutsche Bank Investor Relations Q2 2018 Fixed Income Investor Call 27 July 2018 21#23Rating landscape - senior unsecured and short-term ratings ☑ Operating company / Preferred Senior (1) Holding company / Non-preferred Senior(2) Moody's S&P Rating scale EU Peers Swiss Peers US Peers Short-term Long-term BAR BNP HSBC SOC CS UBS BoA Citi GS JPM MS P/A-1 Aa2/AA P/A-1 Aa3/AA- P/A-1 A1/A+ O P/A-1 A2/A O O P/A-2 A3/A- P/A-2 Baa1/BBB+ P/A-2 Baa2/BBB P/A-3 Note: (1) (2) Baa3/BBB- Data from company information / rating agencies, as of 25 July 2018. Outcome of short-term ratings may differ given agencies have more than one linkage between long-term and short-term rating Senior unsecured instruments that are either issued out of the Operating Company (US, UK and Swiss banks) or statutorily rank pari passu with other senior bank claims like deposits or money market instruments (e.g. senior-senior unsecured debt classification from Moody's; senior unsecured from S&P) Senior unsecured instruments that are either issued out of the Holding Company (US, UK and Swiss banks) or statutorily rank junior to other senior claims against the bank like deposits or money market instruments Deutsche Bank Investor Relations Q2 2018 Fixed Income Investor Call 27 July 2018 22 22#24Balance sheet overview (after netting) € bn, as of 30 June 2018 Assets 1,026 205 Cash and equivalents 219 Liquidity reserves Securities 207 74 Reverse repos and 70 securities borrowed (1) Loans, including 420 Retail € 265bn Transaction Banking € 61bn Derivatives (2) Brokerage receivables (3) Other assets (4) 32 42 Liabilities & equity 75% loan-to- deposit ratio 1,026 112 559 Unsecured Wholesale (excl. deposits) Trading liabilities, repos and securities lend (1) - Deposits, including Retail (incl. WM) € 320bn Transaction Banking € 203bn Unsecured Wholesale € 28bn 28 48 Derivatives (2) Brokerage payables (3) Other liabilities (4) Long-term debt 172 (incl. Trust Preferred Securities and AT1) 64 Equity Note: (1) Based on product level view across all applicable measurement categories. Net balance sheet of € 1,026bn represents the funding required after recognizing (i) legal netting agreements, (ii) cash collateral, and (iii) offsetting pending settlement balances to our IFRS balance sheet (€ 1,421bn) Includes deductions for Master Netting Agreements of € 1bn Includes derivatives qualifying for hedge accounting and deductions for Master Netting Agreements and cash collateral received/paid of € 319bn for assets and € 308bn for liabilities Includes deductions for cash collateral paid/received and pending settlements offsetting of € 75bn for assets and € 86bn for liabilities Other assets include goodwill and other intangible assets, property and equipment, tax assets and other receivables. Other liabilities include financial liabilities designated at fair value through P&L other than securities sold under repurchase agreements / securities loaned, accrued expenses, investment contract liabilities and other payables Deutsche Bank Investor Relations Q2 2018 Fixed Income Investor Call 27 July 2018 23 23#25Specific items € m ☑ Q2 2018 Q2 2017 Q1 2018 CIB PCB AM C&O Group Group Group Revenues 3,579 2,542 561 (91) 6,590 6,616 6,976 DVA and own credit spreads (1) 56 I 56 (179) 61 Gain on sale in GTB 57 Change in valuation of an I I I 57 investment (CIB) Revenues Sal. Oppenheim workout (PCB) 81 Termination of legacy Trust Preferred Security (PCB) Gain from property sale (PCB) CTA realization / loss on sale (C&O) I I 84 81 135 (118) I 156 (164) Noninterest expenses 3,071 2,194 441 77 5,784 5,715 6,457 Noninterest expenses Restructuring and severance 175 22 9 33 239 95 41 Litigation provisions/ (releases) (42) (49) 16 44 (31) (26) 99 66 Impairments 6 (1) Q2 2017 included own credit risk related valuation effects of the group's own debt measured at fair value while with the introduction of IFRS 9 in Q1 2018 the own credit risk component is recorded in Other Comprehensive Income (OCI) Deutsche Bank Investor Relations Q2 2018 Fixed Income Investor Call 27 July 2018 24 24#26USD EUR Net interest income sensitivity € bn, hypothetical +100bps parallel shift impact First year 0.7 0.8 PCB CIB Group > 3M 0.3 0.1 0.4 ≤ 3M 0.4 0.7 1.1 > 3M 0.0 0.0 0.0 ≤ 3M 0.0 0.0 0.0 USD 1.5 EUR Second year 0.9 0.9 PCB CIB Group > 3M 0.5 0.1 0.6 ≤ 3M 0.4 0.7 1.1 > 3M 0.0 0.0 0.0 ≤ 3M 0.0 0.1 0.1 Note: All estimates are based on a static balance sheet, excluding trading positions & Deutsche Asset Management, and at constant exchange rates. The parallel yield curve shift by +100 basis points assumes an immediate increase of all interest rate tenors and no additional management action. Figures do not include Mark-to-Market / Other Comprehensive Income effects on centrally managed positions not eligible for hedge accounting Deutsche Bank Investor Relations Q2 2018 Fixed Income Investor Call 27 July 2018 25 1.8#27Provision for credit losses and stage 3 loans under IFRS 9 € m Provision for credit losses |Corporate & Investment Bank (CIB) Private & Commercial Bank (PCB) 95 88 11 86 888 88 Stage 3 at amortised cost under IFRS9, at period end | Purchased or Originated Credit Impaired assets (POCI) CIB (ex-POCI) PCB (ex-POCI) Group Stage 3 at amortized cost %(2): 2.5% 2.5% 10.0 9.7 2.1 1.9 3.2 3.2 4.7 4.7 Cost of risk Q2 2018(1) (3) Q1 2018 Coverage ratio(3) Q2 2018 Q1 2018 Group 0.09% 0.09% Group 44% 44% CIB 0.01% (0.01)% CIB 34% 35% PCB 0.13% 0.13% PCB 51% 50% Note: (1) Provisions for credit losses in the Corporate & Other and Asset Management segments are not shown on this chart but are included in the Group totals 2018 Year-to-date provision for credit losses annualised as % of loans at amortized cost (€ 395bn as of 30 June 2018) (2) IFRS 9 stage 3 financial assets at amortized cost including POCI as % of loans at amortized cost (€ 395bn as of 30 June 2018) IFRS 9 stage 3 allowance for credit losses for financial assets at amortized cost excluding POCI divided by stage 3 financial assets at amortized cost excluding POCI Deutsche Bank Investor Relations Q2 2018 Fixed Income Investor Call 27 July 2018 26#28Loan book composition IFRS loans at amortized cost, 30 June 2018 Corporate & Investment Bank Private & Commercial Bank Leveraged Finance (5) ABS CIB Other (4) CIB non-strategic 5% 1% 1% 6% Global Transaction Bank 15% 6% Commercial Real Estate (3) <2% German mortgages 34% PCB non-strategic 4% 10% International mortgages 6% Wealth Management 9% PCB other (2) Consumer Finance (1) - Well diversified Loan Portfolio - Over 2/3rds of the loan portfolio in the Private & Commercial Bank and ~50% in retail mortgages and Wealth Management Global Transaction Banking counterparties predominantly investment grade rated DB has high underwriting standards & a defined risk appetite across CIB portfolios Overall, strong quality of the loan portfolio evident from only ~40bps of credit loss provisions on average since 2007 Consumer and small business financing per external reporting PCB other predominantly includes (a) Postbank Commercial and Corporate Loans (b) Individual loans above 1 million Commercial Real Estate Group and Postbank Non recourse CRE business Note: Loan amounts are gross of allowances (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) Deutsche Bank Investor Relations CIB Other comprises CIB relationship loans, FIC (excl. ABS & CRE) and Equities (Collateralized financing) Leveraged Debt Capital Markets Q2 2018 Fixed Income Investor Call 27 July 2018 22 27#29Litigation update € bn, unless stated otherwise Litigation provisions (1) 1.9 1.4 Contingent liabilities(1) 2.5 2.2 Note: (1) 31 Mar 2018 30 Jun 2018 Decrease predominately due to settlement payments for major cases, releases for lower than expected settlements partially offset by additions for other cases Further progress in resolving legacy matters, including: — F/X: Settlement reached with the New York State Department of Financial Services Pre-release ADRs: Settlement reached with the US Securities and Exchange Commission € 0.2bn of the provisions reflect already achieved settlements or agreements-in-principle to settle 31 Mar 2018 30 Jun 2018 Includes possible obligations where an estimate can be made and outflow is more than remote but less than probable for significant matters Decrease primarily driven by reclassifications of certain cases to provisions and out of contingent liabilities Figures reflect current status of individual matters and are subject to potential further developments Includes civil litigation and regulatory enforcement matters Deutsche Bank Investor Relations Q2 2018 Fixed Income Investor Call 27 July 2018 28#30Cautionary statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements that are not historical facts; they include statements about our beliefs and expectations and the assumptions underlying them. These statements are based on plans, estimates and projections as they are currently available to the management of Deutsche Bank. Forward-looking statements therefore speak only as of the date they are made, and we undertake no obligation to update publicly any of them in light of new information or future events. By their very nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties. A number of important factors could therefore cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement. Such factors include the conditions in the financial markets in Germany, in Europe, in the United States and elsewhere from which we derive a substantial portion of our revenues and in which we hold a substantial portion of our assets, the development of asset prices and market volatility, potential defaults of borrowers or trading counterparties, the implementation of our strategic initiatives, the reliability of our risk management policies, procedures and methods, and other risks referenced in our filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Such factors are described in detail in our SEC Form 20-F of 16 March 2018 under the heading "Risk Factors." Copies of this document are readily available upon request or can be downloaded from www.db.com/ir. This presentation also contains non-IFRS financial measures. For a reconciliation to directly comparable figures reported under IFRS, to the extent such reconciliation is not provided in this presentation, refer to the Q2 2018 Financial Data Supplement, which is accompanying this presentation and available at www.db.com/ir. Deutsche Bank Investor Relations Q2 2018 Fixed Income Investor Call 27 July 2018 29 29

Download to PowerPoint

Download presentation as an editable powerpoint.

Related

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group 2021 Financial Overview image

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group 2021 Financial Overview

Financial

Organic Capital Generation and IFRS Transition Outlook image

Organic Capital Generation and IFRS Transition Outlook

Financial

Acquisition of Marshall & Ilsley Corp. image

Acquisition of Marshall & Ilsley Corp.

Financial

SMBC Group's Financial and Credit Portfolio image

SMBC Group's Financial and Credit Portfolio

Financial

Blue Stripe Fund Summary image

Blue Stripe Fund Summary

Financial

BRI Performance Highlights and Green Initiatives image

BRI Performance Highlights and Green Initiatives

Financial

Latvia Stability Programme Report image

Latvia Stability Programme Report

Financial

International Banking Volume & Growth Summary image

International Banking Volume & Growth Summary

Financial